Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
33.3%66.7%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
2.99Projected Runs 4.72
2Final Score 4
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-29.392.348

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-17.271.5

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Corbin Burnes+227
L 1-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Eric Lauer+160
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Jose Quintana+113
W 4-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • PIT: Bryse Wilson-108
L 7-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Corbin Burnes-240
W 1-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Eric Lauer-170
W 5-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • MIL: Aaron Ashby-129
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • MIL: Adrian Houser-115
L 10-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIL: Freddy Peralta-148

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • PZach ThompsonQuestionable
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 2BLuis Urias10-day IL
  • RFAndrew McCutchenRest
  • CPedro SeverinoUnknown
SSE 19 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)44°46°48°46°
Humidity75%69%67%72%
Precipitation6%6%7%11%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSE 19 mphSSE 17 mphSSE 18 mphSSE 18 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+210+205+217+210+206+217+217+214.3
Brewers-230-250-241-230-241-241-230-214.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+205+200+219+210+220+210+220+214.3
Brewers-230-240-243-240-250-240-240-214.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +220 to +210
Brewers ML moved from -240 to -260

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Brewers ML moved from -235 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110+1½+109
Brewers-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+100+1½+100+1½+107+1½-100+1½+115+1½+100+1½+115+1½+109
Brewers-1½-120-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-135-1½-120-1½-120-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-115o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-104
Underu8-105u8-105u8-107u8-105u8-107u8-107u8-105u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8+100o8-115o8+100o8-104
Underu8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-120u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115