Phillies at Marlins

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
51.0%49.0%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
4.09Projected Runs 3.98
3Final Score 5

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-33.671.26

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-23.611.134

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-3 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-131
W 3-1 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • TBR: Shawn Armstrong+127
W 8-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Taijuan Walker • TBR: Zack Littell+112
W 3-1 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Aaron Nola • TBR: Zach Eflin+133
L 5-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • PHI: Ranger Suárez-250
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+125
L 3-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • MIA: Eury Pérez-123
W 9-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • MIA: Bryan Hoeing-109
W 2-15 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-173
W 4-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIA: Braxton Garrett-138

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 2BBryson StottRest
  • CFBrandon MarshRest
  • PSeranthony Dominguez15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CFJonathan DavisOut
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera10-day IL
  • -Andrew Nardi15-day IL
S 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°88°86°84°
Humidity61%66%69%73%
Precipitation9%39%32%10%
ConditionMostly CloudyIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated ThunderstormsCloudy
WindS 10 mphSSW 10 mphWNW 6 mphNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+110+102-105+101+105+101+105+105.7
Marlins-120-110-115-111-115-111-110-105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+100+107+100+107+106+102+107+105.7
Marlins-110-117-110-117-116-118-110-105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -105
Marlins ML moved from -119 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 40.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +108 to +102
Marlins ML moved from -122 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-220+1½-207+1½-225+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-178
Marlins-1½+180-1½+178-1½+185-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+185-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-185+1½-210+1½-210+1½-220+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-178
Marlins-1½+165-1½+180-1½+184-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+184-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7-118o7½+105o7-117o7½+110o7-117o7-117o7-106
Underu8-105u7+102u7½-125u7-103u7½-130u7-103u7½-125u7+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7-125o7½+110o7-120o7½-105o7-115o7-115o7-106
Underu8-110u7+105u7½-130u7+100u7½-115u7-105u7½-115u7+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-122
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105