Red Sox at Rays

Updated
Rank17
R/G4.3
RA/G4.8
48.3%51.7%
Red Sox WinRays Win
3.66Projected Runs 3.83
1Final Score 16
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank17
R/G4.3
RA/G4.8
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-14.411.469

Shane Baz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-01.381.077

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-1 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Garrett Crochet • CHW: Shane Smith-230
L 2-3 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Richard Fitts • CHW: Martín Pérez-154
L 1-11 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Sean Newcomb • CHW: Davis Martin-155
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Walker Buehler-128
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Tanner Houck-125
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • TBR: Joe Boyle+155
L 5-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: AJ Smith-Shawver • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-130
W 3-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • TBR: Taj Bradley-130
L 11-1 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Soriano • TBR: Zack Littell-110
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Yusei Kikuchi • TBR: Ryan Pepiot-140

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • PLucas Giolito10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • SSHa-Seong Kim10-day IL
  • PShane McClanahan15-day IL
  • PNathan Lavender60-day IL
  • PAlex Faedo15-day IL
W 9 mph
Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°74°71°69°
Humidity44%53%61%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 9 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+109+108+101+104+106+104+106+109.1
Rays-120-118-121-115-116-115-115-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+155+105+101+105+108+110+108+109.1
Rays-170-120-113-120-118-120-113-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +115 to +106
Rays ML moved from -113 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +110 to +103
Rays ML moved from -119 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-205+1½-188+1½-195+1½-192+1½-180+1½-192+1½-180+1½-176
Rays-1½+175-1½+167-1½+165-1½+167-1½+160-1½+167-1½+167-1½+176
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-190+1½-190+1½-215+1½-170+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-176
Rays-1½+170-1½+170-1½+185-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160-1½+185-1½+176

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-104
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-117 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under