Phillies at Nationals

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
58.4%41.6%
Phillies WinNationals Win
4.78Projected Runs 3.91
8Final Score 7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-24.21.467

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-12.081.022

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsPHI: Ranger Suarez • WSN: Joan Adon-170
W 10-1 at Washington NationalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Patrick Corbin-195
W 1-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Daniel Castano • PHI: Kyle Gibson-153
L 11-9 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Zach Eflin-140
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: Aaron Nola-116
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • WSN: Joan Adon+171
L 10-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Patrick Corbin+190
L 8-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Erick Fedde+205
L 10-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • WSN: Jackson Tetreault+247
L 9-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • WSN: Erasmo Ramirez+134

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSNick Maton10-day IL
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL
  • 2BJean Segura60-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
NW 8 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)93°89°84°83°
Humidity37%40%48%49%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 8 mphNNW 7 mphNNW 8 mphNNW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-8.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-230-180-109-109-109-109-109-104.4
Nationals+190+148-101-101-101-101+148+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-150-111-115-110-114-114-110-104.4
Nationals+137+101+105+100+104+104+105+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -175 to -190
Nationals ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -126 to -1156
Nationals ML moved from +108 to +100

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-12.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-150-1½-135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+145
Nationals+1½+130+1½+115+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½+115+1½-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-102-1½+130-1½+133-1½+135-1½+125-1½+130-1½+135-1½+145
Nationals+1½-116+1½-150+1½-152+1½-155+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-120o11-115o10-108o10½+100o10-108o10-108o10-108o10+100
Underu10½+100u11-105u10-112u10½-120u10-112u10-112u11-105u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10½+100o10½-105o10½-105o10½+100o10½-105o10½+100o10+100
Underu10-105u10½-120u10½-115u10½-115u10½-120u10½-115u10½-115u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 90.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-105 to o11-115
The Under moved from u10½-115 to u10½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-115 to u10½-120