Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
51.8%48.2%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.55Projected Runs 4.36
3Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Dean Kremer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-33.431.318

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-54.681.5

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • BAL: Kyle Bradish+152
W 4-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • BAL: Jordan Lyles+120
L 8-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • BAL: Spenser Watkins-175
W 3-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • BAL: Austin Voth-164
W 0-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • BAL: Dean Kremer-148
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 8-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • BOS: Nick Pivetta+142
L 9-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • BOS: Rich Hill+161
L 5-13 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Kutter Crawford • KCR: Brad Keller-146
L 4-5 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • KCR: Daniel Lynch-142
W 7-4 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Josh Winckowski • KCR: Zack Greinke-110

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PTyler WellsUnknown
  • PChris EllisOut for Season
  • PJohn MeansOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BEric HosmerUnknown
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • PTanner HouckUnknown
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PChris SaleOut for Season
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
NE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°72°
Humidity80%87%91%91%
Precipitation4%3%4%5%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindNE 5 mphENE 5 mphS 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+120+109-102+108+112+108+112+116.5
Red Sox-130-118-118-118-122-118-118-116.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+118+106+102+108+105+110+110+116.5
Red Sox-128-116-112-118-115-120-112-116.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +100 to -102
Red Sox ML moved from -112 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +108 to -101
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-175+1½-168+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-168+1½-162
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-170+1½-170+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-162
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+150-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10-113o10-115o10-114o10-110o10-114o10-110o10+100
Underu9½+100u10-103u10-105u10-106u10-110u10-106u10-103u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+100o10-110o10+100o10-115o10-120o10-120o10+100o10+100
Underu10-120u10-110u10-120u10-105u10+100u10+100u10+100u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10+105 to u10+100