Mariners at Astros

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
45.1%54.9%
Mariners WinAstros Win
3.33Projected Runs 3.84
2Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
258-62.991.084

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3117-62.821.157

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 7-8 at Houston AstrosSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Justin Verlander+205
W 10-9 at Toronto Blue JaysSEA: Robbie Ray • TOR: Kevin Gausman+159
W 4-0 at Toronto Blue JaysSEA: Luis Castillo • TOR: Alek Manoah+119
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Alexander • SEA: Marco Gonzales-136
W 6-9 vs Detroit TigersDET: Will Vest • SEA: Justus Sheffield-165
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 7-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Justin Verlander-220
W 2-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Bailey Falter • HOU: Framber Valdez-190
W 0-10 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • HOU: Justin Verlander-220
L 3-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • HOU: Lance McCullers-118
W 1-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Corey Kluber • HOU: Luis Garcia-157

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • 2BSam Haggerty10-day IL
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • CFChas McCormickRest
  • PPhil MatonOut for Season
  • DHTrey ManciniRest
NE 5 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°87°87°86°
Humidity60%58%58%60%
Precipitation2%6%8%9%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 5 mphENE 6 mphENE 6 mphENE 6 mph
Jansen Visconti
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+130+133+126+129-+129+133+137.1
Astros-141-143-150-139--139-139-137.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+138+132+133-+136+134+136+137.1
Astros-150-142-146--148-144-142-137.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +138 to +128
Astros ML moved from -138 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +141 to +132
Astros ML moved from -145 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-190+1½-173+1½-175+1½-173-+1½-173+1½-173+1½-162
Astros-1½+165-1½+157-1½+150-1½+153--1½+153-1½+157-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180-+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162
Astros-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160--1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-118o6½-118o6½-125o6½-118-o6½-118o6½-118o6½-109
Underu6½-102u6½+102u6½+105u6½-102-u6½-102u6½+105u6½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o6½-120o6½-125-o7+105o6½-120o6½-120o6½-109
Underu6½+100u6½+100u6½+105-u7-125u6½+100u6½+105u6½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under