Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
37.4%62.6%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.66Projected Runs 4.99
12Final Score 2
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Josh Fleming (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.441.557

Colin Rea (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
158-23.341.198

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-8 vs New York MetsNYM: Christian Scott • PIT: Mitch Keller-118
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • PIT: Luis Ortiz+117
L 5-2 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PIT: Bailey Falter+118
W 2-14 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • PIT: Paul Skenes-133
L 3-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • PIT: Martín Pérez+100
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 9-2 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Dallas Keuchel • LAD: Justin Wrobleski+155
L 3-5 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Freddy Peralta • LAD: James Paxton-101
L 5-8 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Aaron Civale • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+185
L 3-4 at Colorado RockiesMIL: Tobias Myers • COL: Cal Quantrill-130
W 3-0 at Colorado RockiesMIL: Colin Rea • COL: Dakota Hudson-163

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PBailey Falter15-day IL
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • PDaulton Jefferies15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 3BJoey Ortiz10-day IL
  • 2BOliver Dunn10-day IL
  • CGary Sanchez10-day IL
  • PRobert GasserOut for Season
  • PJared Koenig15-day IL
  • PEnoli Paredes15-day IL
E 5 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°73°72°71°
Humidity71%74%77%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindE 5 mphE 3 mphE 3 mphNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+140+142+138+146+147+146+147+151.0
Brewers-168-154-164-159-157-159-154-151.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+145+146+145+146+143+146+151.0
Brewers-160-155-160-160-159-158-155-151.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +147 to +139
Brewers ML moved from -155 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +143
Brewers ML moved from -154 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
Brewers-1½+140-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
Brewers-1½+140-1½+120-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-103o8½-105o8½-104o8½+100o8½-104o8½+100o8½+105
Underu8½-115u8½-113u8½-115u8½-116u8½-120u8½-116u8½-113u8½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+100o8-125o8½+100o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+105
Underu8½-115u8½-120u8+105u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8+105u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125