Nationals at Brewers

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
47.0%53.0%
Nationals WinBrewers Win
3.97Projected Runs 4.28
6Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-53.441.091

Dallas Keuchel (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-04.611.683

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 5-2 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Jackson Rutledge • MIL: Freddy Peralta+233
L 0-7 at New York MetsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • NYM: David Peterson+132
L 2-6 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Luis Severino+176
L 5-7 at New York MetsWSN: Jake Irvin • NYM: Jose Quintana+132
L 6-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • WSN: Mitchell Parker-113
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jackson Rutledge • MIL: Freddy Peralta-260
L 1-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • MIL: Aaron Civale+108
W 0-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Martín Pérez • MIL: Tobias Myers-152
L 12-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Josh Fleming • MIL: Colin Rea-155
W 9-2 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Dallas Keuchel • LAD: Justin Wrobleski+155

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PEnoli Paredes15-day IL
  • CGary Sanchez10-day IL
  • PRobert GasserOut for Season
  • 3BJoey OrtizUnknown
  • 2BOliver Dunn10-day IL
  • PJared Koenig15-day IL
SSE 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)86°86°85°85°
Humidity60%62%62%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+115+124+120+122+126+122+126+126.7
Brewers-125-134-143-133-136-133-133-126.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+160+130+124+122+132+126+132+126.7
Brewers-120-140-135-137-143-136-135-126.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +123 to +117
Brewers ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 70.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +130 to +124
Brewers ML moved from -128 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-190+1½-163+1½-170+1½-164+1½-165+1½-164+1½-163+1½-152
Brewers-1½+165-1½+147-1½+145-1½+144-1½+145-1½+144-1½+147-1½+152
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-185+1½-170+1½-162+1½-165+1½-175+1½-175+1½-160+1½-152
Brewers-1½+165-1½+150-1½+143-1½+145-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+152

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+102o9+100o9-101o9-105o9-101o9+102o9+108
Underu9-115u9-118u9-120u9-119u9-115u9-119u9-115u9-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+108
Underu9-115u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under