Red Sox at Padres

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
44.4%55.6%
Red Sox WinPadres Win
4.03Projected Runs 4.64
4Final Score 2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-25.41.269

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-16.631.632

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-1 at San Diego PadresBOS: James Paxton • SDP: Blake Snell+138
W 3-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • BOS: Brayan Bello-122
W 4-9 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Luis Castillo • BOS: Nick Pivetta+140
L 10-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • BOS: Tanner Houck+106
L 9-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Corey Kluber+100
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 6-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • SDP: Blake Snell-145
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Carlos Hernández • SDP: Yu Darvish-262
L 5-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • SDP: Seth Lugo-190
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • SDP: Michael Wacha-225
L 0-4 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Ryan Weathers • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+140

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • CReese McGuireRest
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • DHJustin TurnerDoubtful

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PSeth LugoUnknown
  • 3BManny Machado10-day IL
  • CFTrent GrishamRest
  • RFJose AzocarUnknown
W 4 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°62°62°61°
Humidity79%81%82%83%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 4 mphWNW 4 mphWNW 4 mphWNW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115+104+100+102+104+103+104+107.7
Padres-125-112-120-112-114-113-112-107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115+102+104+106+107+104+107+107.7
Padres-130-112-114-116-117-120-112-107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +108 to +100
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +108 to +102
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-193+1½-200+1½-198+1½-185+1½-198+1½-193+1½-181
Padres-1½+155-1½+172-1½+170-1½+173-1½+160-1½+173-1½+173-1½+181
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-181
Padres-1½+152-1½+170-1½+176-1½+158-1½+170-1½+170-1½+176-1½+181

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-123o7½-125o7½-121o7½-120o7½-121o7½-120o7½-110
Underu8½-115u7½+107u7½+105u7½+101u7½+100u7½+101u7½+107u7½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-110
Underu8-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-123
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110