Pirates at Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.7%59.3%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.37Projected Runs 4.34
13Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3012-94.041.243

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2816-42.731.139

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-14 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Javier Assad+152
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • PIT: Colin Selby+145
L 6-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luke Weaver • PIT: Luis Ortiz+105
L 7-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • PIT: Johan Oviedo+148
W 0-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • PIT: Mitch Keller-155
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-14 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Javier Assad-163
L 2-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Jordan Wicks • ARI: Ryne Nelson-114
L 6-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Kyle Hendricks • ARI: Zach Davies-107
L 4-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Justin Steele • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-123
L 3-7 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Jameson Taillon • COL: Ty Blach-190

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • DHAndrew McCutchenOut for Season
  • -Angel Perdomo60-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan BaeRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • 1BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
  • PMichael Fulmer15-day IL
SE 3 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°73°72°71°
Humidity60%64%65%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 3 mphSSE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+172+172+179+176+179+179+185.1
Cubs-177-186-212-197-186-197-186-185.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+143+167+176+158+172+160+176+185.1
Cubs-170-182-195-190-190-190-182-185.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -204 to -212

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -178 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-142+1½-123+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-109
Cubs-1½+120-1½+107-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+100-1½+107-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-130+1½-122+1½-130+1½-120+1½-130+1½-120+1½-109
Cubs-1½+118-1½+110-1½+104-1½+110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-113o8+100o7½-114o7½-115o7½-114o7½-113o7½-104
Underu8½-110u7½-103u8-120u7½-106u7½-105u7½-106u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu8-100u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o8-103
The Under moved from u8-118 to u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120
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