Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7
52.6%47.4%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.89Projected Runs 3.61
4Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
248-83.011.145

Ronel Blanco (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
239-62.891.015

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Kutter Crawford • BAL: Albert Suarez+111
W 5-1 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Brayan Bello • BAL: Cade Povich+103
W 12-10 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Brennan Bernardino • BAL: Corbin Burnes+155
L 1-5 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Zach Eflin+137
L 9-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • BOS: Tanner Houck-127
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Ky Bush • HOU: Framber Valdez-345
W 1-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Chris Flexen • HOU: Hunter Brown-335
L 5-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Garrett Crochet • HOU: Spencer Arrighetti-253
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Ronel Blanco • TBR: Zack Littell-120
W 3-2 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Yusei Kikuchi • TBR: Shane Baz-121

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJames Paxton15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PRonel BlancoNamed Starter
  • 3BAlex BregmanQuestionable
S 5 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)96°94°91°89°
Humidity51%56%60%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindS 5 mphS 6 mphS 7 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+118+126+125+127+130+127+130+131.6
Astros-128-136-149-138-140-138-136-131.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+109+130+129+130+132+124+132+131.6
Astros-119-140-141-145-143-134-134-131.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +110 to +100
Astros ML moved from -140 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +130 to +124
Astros ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-205+1½-168+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Astros-1½+175-1½+152-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-157
Astros-1½+175-1½+145-1½+146-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-113o8-115o8-112o8-115o8-112o8-112o8-102
Underu8-105u8-103u8-105u8-108u8-105u8-108u8-103u8+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-115o8-110o8-130o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-102
Underu8-105u8-105u8-110u8+110u8-105u8-105u8+110u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8½+102
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8-130
No Steam Moves On Under