Red Sox at Orioles

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(76-76)
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7
36.6%63.4%
Red Sox WinOrioles Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.73
12Final Score 10

Baltimore Orioles

(84-68)
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Brennan Bernardino (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
24-33.791.413

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2412-42.711.049

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-5 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Zach Eflin+137
L 9-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • BOS: Tanner Houck-127
W 4-9 vs Texas RangersTEX: José Ureña • BOS: Kutter Crawford-135
W 4-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Tyler Mahle • BOS: Brayan Bello-118
L 10-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Hunter Brown • BOS: James Paxton+128
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Zach Eflin-137
W 1-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: DJ Herz • BAL: Dean Kremer-165
L 9-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • BAL: Trevor Rogers-190
L 1-2 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Albert Suarez • TBR: Jeffrey Springs+108
W 7-5 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Corbin Burnes • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-126

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFTyler O'Neill10-day IL
  • SSNick SogardIn Lineup
  • 1BTriston CasasIn Lineup
  • PJames Paxton15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PJacob Webb15-day IL
  • 3BJordan Westburg10-day IL
  • PGrayson Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 1BHeston Kjerstad10-day IL
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°80°78°77°
Humidity57%62%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphS 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+180+158+144+156+158+156+158+161.2
Orioles-220-172-175-170-168-170-168-161.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+193+152+152+154+155+150+155+161.2
Orioles-213-165-167-169-170-165-165-161.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +162 to +156
Orioles ML moved from -179 to -188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +150 to +143
Orioles ML moved from -158 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-115+1½-133+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
Orioles-1½-105-1½+117-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-109+1½-140+1½-138+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-124
Orioles-1½-109-1½+120-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-118o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-118o8½-109
Underu8½+100u8½+102u9-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-120u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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