Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
53.1%46.9%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
4.51Projected Runs 4.19
8Final Score 3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-44.351.25

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-37.251.472

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-2 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Josh Winckowski • CLE: Shane Bieber+145
W 6-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Nick Pivetta • CLE: Cal Quantrill-112
W 2-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • BOS: Michael Wacha-132
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Beau Brieske • BOS: Rich Hill-184
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Alex Faedo • BOS: Josh Winckowski-178
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Josh Winckowski • CLE: Shane Bieber-152
L 6-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CLE: Cal Quantrill+106
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+125
W 11-10 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Sonny Gray+138
W 6-5 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan+145

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique Hernandez10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • PMatt BarnesUnknown
  • PHansel RoblesUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • LFSteven KwanRest
SW 8 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°84°84°82°
Humidity57%57%56%61%
Precipitation12%16%32%27%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyRainPossible Light Rain
WindSW 8 mphSW 8 mphSW 8 mphNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-115-110-103-108-104-103-103+100.0
Guardians+105-110-107-102-106-107-102+100.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-107-108-107-109-107-108-107+100.0
Guardians-103-102-103-101-103-102-101+100.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+140-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+144-1½+147-1½+147-1½+154
Guardians+1½-160+1½-170+1½-167+1½-165+1½-164+1½-167+1½-164+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+146-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154
Guardians+1½-165+1½-165+1½-164+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-164+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+104
Underu9-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½+104
Underu9-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-105u9½-115u9½-105u9½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115