Orioles at Twins

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
41.1%58.9%
Orioles WinTwins Win
3.90Projected Runs 4.83
3Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Tyler Wells (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-43.231.033

Devin Smeltzer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-12.861.013

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 3-4 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Jordan Lyles • MIN: Sonny Gray+213
L 2-3 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Spenser Watkins • MIN: Joe Ryan+205
L 3-9 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Austin Voth • SEA: Chris Flexen+112
L 0-2 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Dean Kremer • SEA: Robbie Ray+145
W 9-2 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Tyler Wells • SEA: George Kirby+137
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Jordan Lyles • MIN: Sonny Gray-224
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Spenser Watkins • MIN: Joe Ryan-220
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Chris Archer • CLE: Shane Bieber+140
L 6-7 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Dylan Bundy • CLE: Cal Quantrill+115
W 6-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Josh Winder • CLE: Konnor Pilkington-106

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • CFCedric MullinsRest
  • SSRamon Urias10-day IL
  • PKyle BradishUnknown
  • SSJorge MateoRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • -Joe SmithUnknown
  • CFByron BuxtonRest
  • CRyan JeffersRest
  • 3BGio UrshelaRest
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
  • PBailey OberUnknown
  • PCody Stashak60-day IL
  • LFTrevor LarnachOut
S 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°81°82°84°
Humidity55%55%53%49%
Precipitation3%6%6%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 7 mphS 7 mphS 9 mphS 10 mph
Alfonso Marquez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+145+130+134+137+133+134+137+138.0
Twins-155-155-145-147-145-145-145-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+148+140+138+135+138+140+140+138.0
Twins-158-150-151-160-150-150-150-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +141 to +134
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +144 to +138
Twins ML moved from -158 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-145+1½-160+1½-156+1½-155+1½-156+1½-156+1½-155+1½-145
Twins-1½+125-1½+135-1½+136-1½+135-1½+136-1½+136-1½+136-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-140+1½-145
Twins-1½+125-1½+120-1½+127-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9+100o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu8½-110u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu8½-105u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-110u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110