Phillies at Padres

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
52.3%47.7%
Phillies WinPadres Win
4.50Projected Runs 4.25
0Final Score 8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
238-83.731.14

Pedro Avila (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-22.671.385

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 9-7 at San Diego PadresPHI: Taijuan Walker • SDP: Rich Hill+110
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIL: Wade Miley-108
L 5-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPHI: Aaron Nola • MIL: Colin Rea-136
L 5-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIL: Freddy Peralta-114
L 10-8 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-165
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 9-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • SDP: Rich Hill-115
W 0-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • SDP: Seth Lugo-124
W 1-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kyle Harrison • SDP: Blake Snell-165
W 3-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Tristan Beck • SDP: Michael Wacha-138
L 7-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jakob Junis • SDP: Pedro Avila-124

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSTrea TurnerOut

San Diego Padres

Status
  • DHJi-Man Choi10-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • PRobert SuarezOut
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • PSteven Wilson15-day IL
  • 1BJake CronenworthOut
W 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°70°68°67°
Humidity70%74%78%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindW 5 mphW 4 mphW 3 mphW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+100+118+117+119+118+119+119+123.4
Padres-110-127-140-129-128-129-127-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-110+114+114+115+115+112+115+123.4
Padres+100-124-124-130-125-132-124-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -101
Padres ML moved from -136 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -106 to -112
Padres ML moved from -120 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+150+1½-173+1½-170+1½-172+1½-170+1½-172+1½-170+1½-159
Padres+1½-170-1½+157-1½+145-1½+152-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+158+1½-180-1½+176+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-159
Padres+1½-190-1½+160+1½-200-1½+158-1½+165-1½+155-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+102o9-115o9-117o9-115o9-117o9+102o9-106
Underu9-120u9-118u9-105u9-103u9-105u9-103u9-103u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-120o9-110o9-106
Underu8½-100u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-110u9+100u9+100u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-108 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105