Mets at Phillies

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
45.2%54.8%
Mets WinPhillies Win
4.16Projected Runs 4.67
6Final Score 7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3111-73.911.242

Cristopher Sanchez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3111-93.321.244

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 6-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Kodai Senga • PHI: Zack Wheeler+170
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Jose Quintana • MIL: Tobias Myers+115
L 3-5 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Sean Manaea • MIL: Frankie Montas+120
W 8-4 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Luis Severino • MIL: Freddy Peralta+134
L 0-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Joey Lucchesi • ATL: Grant Holmes+250
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 6-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • PHI: Zack Wheeler-173
W 6-3 at Washington NationalsPHI: Aaron Nola • WSN: Jake Irvin-132
L 3-6 at Washington NationalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-199
L 1-9 at Washington NationalsPHI: Ranger Suárez • WSN: Trevor Williams-174
W 6-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-200

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 2BJeff McNeilOut for Season

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSRodolfo Castro60-day IL
SW 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°76°73°70°
Humidity43%45%51%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 6 mphSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+142+132+119+126+128+126+132+130.6
Phillies-155-142-142-137-138-137-137-130.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+132+132+124+129+132+129+132+130.6
Phillies-145-142-135-144-143-139-135-130.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +132 to +126
Phillies ML moved from -136 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +130 to +124
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-154+1½-158+1½-165+1½-163+1½-165+1½-163+1½-158+1½-151
Phillies-1½+134-1½+142-1½+140-1½+143-1½+145-1½+143-1½+145-1½+151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-164+1½-165+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-151
Phillies-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-1½+151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8½-108o8½-105o8½-112o8½-110o8½-112o8½-105o8½-102
Underu7½+100u8½-108u8½-115u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-108u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8-135o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-102
Underu7½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8+115u8½-115u8½-110u8+115u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-125 to o8-135
No Steam Moves On Under