Mets at Braves

Updated

New York Mets

(89-73)
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
39.8%60.2%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.38
10Final Score 13

Atlanta Braves

(89-73)
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.251.139

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
126-22.971.005

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 5-7 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Charlie Morton+115
L 4-6 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Bryce Elder+150
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • NYM: Kodai Senga-137
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • NYM: Tylor Megill+118
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • NYM: Justin Verlander-125
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 5-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Charlie Morton-120
W 4-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Bryce Elder-160
W 8-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Mike Soroka • ARI: Zac Gallen+119
W 5-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Spencer Strider • ARI: Ryne Nelson-240
L 2-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Merrill Kelly-111

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 1BPete AlonsoUnknown
  • CFTim Locastro60-day IL
  • DHDaniel VogelbachRest
  • LFMark CanhaRest
  • COmar NarvaezUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMax Fried60-day IL
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • CSean MurphyRest
  • PMichael TonkinUnknown
  • PDylan LeeUnknown
NNW 9 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°79°75°73°
Humidity36%38%42%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNNW 9 mphN 8 mphN 6 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+143+170+153+162+170+162+170+167.1
Braves-155-184-185-176-180-176-176-167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+145+162+165+162+170+160+170+167.1
Braves-172-177-182-195-188-190-177-167.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +176 to +168
Braves ML moved from -182 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +175 to +165
Braves ML moved from -185 to -193

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-145+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Braves-1½+125-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+107-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-140+1½-120+1½-126+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Braves-1½+118-1½+100-1½+108-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+108-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-103o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-113u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-105o8½-105o8-120o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8-105u8½-115u8½-115u8+100u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115
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