Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
40.5%59.5%
Mets WinBraves Win
4.02Projected Runs 5.01
4Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-25.741.372

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-01.921.157

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • NYM: Kodai Senga-137
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • NYM: Tylor Megill+118
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • NYM: Justin Verlander-125
W 2-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • NYM: Max Scherzer-185
W 1-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+110
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 8-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Mike Soroka • ARI: Zac Gallen+119
W 5-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Spencer Strider • ARI: Ryne Nelson-240
L 2-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Merrill Kelly-111
W 4-2 at Oakland AthleticsATL: Jared Shuster • OAK: James Kaprielian-215
L 1-2 at Oakland AthleticsATL: Bryce Elder • OAK: JP Sears-234

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • CFTim Locastro60-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMax Fried60-day IL
  • PDylan LeeUnknown
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PMichael TonkinUnknown
W 9 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°84°80°78°
Humidity41%46%51%55%
Precipitation47%52%0%0%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsClearClear
WindW 9 mphW 6 mphW 5 mphW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+143+151+144+152+152+152+152+156.9
Braves-155-161-175-165-162-165-161-156.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+140+150+148+148+147+145+150+156.9
Braves-165-160-162-175-161-170-160-156.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +160 to +148
Braves ML moved from -160 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mets ML
Braves ML moved from -152 to -163

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-135+1½-133+1½-140+1½-132+1½-135+1½-132+1½-132+1½-121
Braves-1½+115-1½+117-1½+120-1½+112-1½+115-1½+112-1½+120-1½+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-135+1½-130+1½-138+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-121
Braves-1½+115-1½+110-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+121

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10½-103o10½-110o10½-112o10½-105o10½-112o10½-103o10½-102
Underu9½-110u10½-113u10½-110u10½-108u10½-115u10½-108u10½-108u10½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-115o10½-110o10½-110o10½-102
Underu10-115u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-105u10½-110u10½-105u10½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-108 to u10½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10½-110
No Steam Moves On Under