Red Sox at Royals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
65.2%34.8%
Red Sox WinRoyals Win
5.10Projected Runs 3.51
2Final Score 13

Kansas City Royals

(86-76)
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
187-43.991.257

Jordan Lyles (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
253-156.511.307

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • BOS: Kutter Crawford+118
L 6-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • BOS: Brayan Bello-112
L 13-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • BOS: Chris Sale-124
L 7-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Caleb Ferguson • BOS: Tanner Houck+105
W 5-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urías • BOS: James Paxton+112
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andre Jackson • KCR: Angel Zerpa+112
L 6-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Colin Selby • KCR: Cole Ragans-136
L 5-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • KCR: Zack Greinke-110
L 2-3 at Seattle MarinersKCR: Alec Marsh • SEA: Luis Castillo+270
L 2-15 at Seattle MarinersKCR: Jordan Lyles • SEA: Logan Gilbert+220

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFJarren DuranOut for Season
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • PCorey Kluber60-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CSalvador PerezUnknown
  • PBrady SingerOut
  • 1BMatt BeatyRest
  • LFMJ MelendezRest
SE 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)85°80°77°75°
Humidity40%45%49%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 7 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-185-192-206-195-188-195-188-183.8
Royals+169+177+168+178+178+178+178+183.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-190-200-197-215-197-200-197-183.8
Royals+158+180+178+178+178+170+180+183.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -200 to -208
Royals ML moved from +170 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -205 to -215
Royals ML moved from +170 to +158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-120-1½-128-1½-125-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-125-1½-119
Royals+1½+100+1½+112+1½+105+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+112+1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-120-1½-115-1½-125-1½-135-1½-125-1½-130-1½-115-1½-119
Royals+1½-100+1½-105+1½+107+1½+115+1½+105+1½+110+1½+115+1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-108o10-105o10-110o10-105o10-110o10-105o10+100
Underu9½-110u10-108u10-115u10-110u10-115u10-110u10-108u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-110o10-110o10-105o9½-120o10-110o10-105o10+100
Underu9½-110u10-110u10-110u10-115u9½+100u10-110u10-110u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-103 to o10-108
The Under moved from u10-108 to u10-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115
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