Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
40.0%60.0%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.35
1Final Score 2

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-44.711.308

Sandy Alcantara (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-21.810.978

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-12 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Joan Adon • MIA: Edward Cabrera+162
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Luis Castillo+165
W 10-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Tyler Mahle+121
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 2-12 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • MIA: Edward Cabrera-167
L 5-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jakob Junis • MIA: Braxton Garrett+110
W 4-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • MIA: Pablo Lopez-103
L 15-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: John Brebbia • MIA: Richard Bleier+102
W 0-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-134

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
  • 3BEhire AdrianzaUnknown
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
  • Dee Strange-GordonOut
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PSixto Sanchez10-day IL
  • PCody PoteetUnknown
  • 3BJoey Wendle10-day IL
  • CFJesus SanchezQuestionable
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PAnthony BenderUnknown
  • PJesus LuzardoUnknown
ESE 6 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°82°80°79°
Humidity74%80%83%80%
Precipitation22%23%12%11%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindESE 6 mphESE 6 mphSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+165+172+173+167+172+173+180.0
Marlins-230-200-187-183-187-187-183-180.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+211+175+172+172+175+171+175+180.0
Marlins-235-190-190-192-193-186-186-180.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +171 to +165
Marlins ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +178 to +172
Marlins ML moved from -198 to -214

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-114
Marlins-1½-115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½-120+1½-128+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Marlins-1½-113-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½-120o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-104
Underu7-105u7½+100u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-120