MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cincinnati Reds (28-29)
Chicago Cubs (35-21)
Andrew Abbott
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
40.3%
59.7%




3.55
4.56
8.11


Milwaukee Brewers (29-28)
Philadelphia Phillies (35-19)
DL Hall
Taijuan Walker
45.1%
54.9%
+127
-136
+128
-136
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+140
4.44
4.96
9.40
o9-120
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
Chicago White Sox (18-38)
Baltimore Orioles (19-36)
Sean Burke
Zach Eflin
33.0%
67.0%
+196
-215
+200
-220
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
2.77
4.52
7.29
o9-108
u9+100
o9+100
u9-115
Oakland Athletics (23-33)
Toronto Blue Jays (27-28)
Jeffrey Springs
Chris Bassitt
40.7%
59.3%
+154
-156
+145
-155
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.31
4.29
7.60
o8-108
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (9-47)
New York Mets (34-22)
Kyle Freeland
David Peterson
26.2%
73.8%
+300
-342
+310
-350
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-155
2.83
5.32
8.15
o8+102
u7½+100
o7½-120
u8-115
San Francisco Giants (31-25)
Miami Marlins (22-32)
Kyle Harrison
Cal Quantrill
59.1%
40.9%
-165
+155
-169
+155
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.76
3.80
8.56
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-105
Los Angeles Angels (25-30)
Cleveland Guardians (30-25)
Jose Soriano
Luis Ortiz
42.3%
57.7%
+127
-137
+129
-136
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.47
4.29
7.76
o8-113
u8-103
o8-115
u8+100
Boston Red Sox (27-31)
Atlanta Braves (25-28)
Lucas Giolito
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+145
-155
+145
-158
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.01
5.07
9.08
o9½+102
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9+110
St. Louis Cardinals (32-24)
Texas Rangers (27-30)
Matthew Liberatore
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
53.1%
46.9%




4.26
3.94
8.20


Detroit Tigers (37-20)
Kansas City Royals (30-27)
Casey Mize
Seth Lugo
51.4%
48.6%
-113
+103
-108
+105
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
3.89
3.75
7.64
o8-105
u8-108
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (28-27)
Houston Astros (30-25)
Ryan Pepiot
Framber Valdez
43.9%
56.1%
+144
-153
+145
-157
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.33
3.96
7.29
o7½+100
u7½-113
o7½+105
u7½-115
Washington Nationals (25-30)
Arizona Diamondbacks (27-29)
Jake Irvin
Merrill Kelly
33.8%
66.2%
+190
-207
+190
-207
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
3.27
4.95
8.22
o9+107
u9-116
o8½-120
u9-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (21-36)
San Diego Padres (31-23)
Mitch Keller
Nick Pivetta
34.9%
65.1%
+175
-183
+170
-185
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
2.60
4.18
6.78
o7½+102
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Minnesota Twins (30-25)
Seattle Mariners (30-24)
Zebby Matthews
Bryan Woo
40.3%
59.7%
+141
-150
+140
-153
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.03
4.04
7.07
o7-110
u7+105
o7-120
u7+105
New York Yankees (35-20)
Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22)
Max Fried
Tony Gonsolin
50.3%
49.7%
-130
+120
-125
+118
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
4.31
4.27
8.58
o8½-125
u9-110
o8½-120
u8½+110
Games for May 29, 2025
Games for May 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
48.6%
51.4%
-112
+103
-104
+103


5
4
-0.65878-0.67615-0.72186
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
32.7%
67.3%
+175
-185
+180
-190
+1½+102
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+105
5
4
-1.02427-1.04185-1.11645
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
+130
-138
+135
-138
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
11
6
-0.84742-0.85977-0.76224
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.7%
41.3%
-104
-104
-105
-102


4
0
-0.69315-0.68605-0.53273
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
53.4%
46.6%
-111
+104
-109
+105
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+144
+1½-155
5
6
-0.72909-0.72714-0.76441
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
43.5%
56.5%
+126
-128
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
10
3
-0.81923-0.80044-0.83133
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
65.1%
34.9%
-187
+177
-190
+180
-1½-118
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+110
2
5
-1.03136-1.04185-1.05331
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
47.5%
52.5%
-101
-106
+100
-110
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
0
-0.70508-0.71668-0.74461
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
47.3%
52.7%
-112
+103
-110
+107
-1½+150
+1½-162

6
2
-0.65878-0.65350-0.74917
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
56.5%
43.5%
-119
+119
-127
+124
-1½+140
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
1
-0.60995-0.58665-0.57054
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
40.2%
59.8%
+170
-180
+170
-184
+1½-108
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
11
6
-1.00641-1.01134-0.91066
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
47.1%
52.9%
+107
-111
+107
-114
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
7
-0.65145-0.64546-0.63665
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.2%
41.8%
+106
-115
+115
-114
+1½-188
-1½+170

2
1
-0.74282-0.76329-0.54106
Oakland Athletics
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-123
+115
-119
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
9
-0.60523-0.61841-0.72712
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
44.3%
55.7%
+109
-118
+115
-118
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4
3
-0.75673-0.77184-0.81346
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
26.8%
73.2%
+250
-282
+250
-285
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-140
3
6
-0.32716-0.32640-0.31167
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61643 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61929 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.64393
-0.02750
-0.02464

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.