Mets at Astros

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
46.8%53.2%
Mets WinAstros Win
3.80Projected Runs 4.14
2Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-34.41.222

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
146-52.271.033

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 11-1 at Houston AstrosNYM: Max Scherzer • HOU: Hunter Brown+105
L 8-7 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-126
L 5-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • NYM: Kodai Senga-150
W 1-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • NYM: Tylor Megill+108
W 3-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • NYM: Justin Verlander-102
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 11-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • HOU: Hunter Brown-112
L 9-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • HOU: Ronel Blanco-140
L 10-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • HOU: Brandon Bielak-114
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • HOU: J.P. France-157
L 4-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • HOU: Cristian Javier-190

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 3BBrett BatyRest
  • PDrew SmithOut
  • DHDaniel VogelbachRest
  • CFrancisco AlvarezUnknown

Houston Astros

Status
  • CFChas McCormickRest
  • PLance McCullers JrOut for Season
  • DHYordan Alvarez10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
SSW 9 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)96°93°89°87°
Humidity45%51%61%69%
Precipitation39%30%30%30%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSSW 9 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphS 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+122+124+119+118+119+124+123.4
Astros-135-132-148-129-128-129-128-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+115+118+123+122+120+120+123+123.4
Astros-130-128-134-145-130-140-128-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +129 to +123
Astros ML moved from -135 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +125 to +118
Astros ML moved from -143 to -154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-173+1½-175+1½-177+1½-175+1½-177+1½-173+1½-164
Astros-1½+160-1½+157-1½+150-1½+157-1½+155-1½+157-1½+157-1½+164
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-170+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-164
Astros-1½+143-1½+150-1½+155-1½+143-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+105o7½-103o7½-105o7½-108o7½+100o7½-108o7½+100o7½+102
Underu7½-125u7½-113u7½-115u7½-112u7½-120u7½-112u7½-112u7½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-100o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½+102
Underu7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
No Steam Moves On Under