Phillies at Pirates

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
60.6%39.4%
Phillies WinPirates Win
4.73Projected Runs 3.61
7Final Score 8
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1911-43.381.028

Martín Pérez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
141-55.151.623

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 18-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joey Estes • PHI: Orion Kerkering-235
W 5-11 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Mitch Spence • PHI: Tyler Phillips-180
L 6-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Hogan Harris • PHI: Ranger Suárez-240
W 1-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Anthony Banda • PHI: Aaron Nola-148
W 3-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Gavin Stone • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-133
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 9-4 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Mitch Keller • CHW: Jared Shuster-148
W 6-2 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Luis Ortiz • CHW: Chris Flexen-132
W 4-1 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Marco Gonzales • CHW: Garrett Crochet+154
W 1-0 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Paul Skenes • MIL: Aaron Civale-117
L 0-9 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Martín Pérez • MIL: Tobias Myers+148

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PTaijuan Walker15-day IL
  • PZack WheelerQuestionable
  • PSpencer Turnbull15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • DHAndrew McCutchenUnknown
  • PBailey Falter15-day IL
  • PDaulton Jefferies15-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
NNW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°81°78°74°
Humidity40%44%50%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 3 mphN 4 mphN 4 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-138-158-168-162-160-162-158-153.3
Pirates+115+146+140+148+150+148+150+153.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-124-170-163-166-165-162-162-153.3
Pirates+114+155+148+151+151+147+155+153.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -172 to -183
Pirates ML moved from +145 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -161 to -170
Pirates ML moved from +158 to +151

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+120-1½-103-1½-105-1½-102-1½-105-1½-102-1½-102-1½+107
Pirates+1½-140+1½-113+1½-115+1½-118+1½-115+1½-118+1½-113+1½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+120-1½+100-1½+102-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+102-1½+107
Pirates+1½-140+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-113o8-120o8½+105o8½+100o8½+105o8½+105o8½+114
Underu7½-110u8-103u8+100u8½-125u8½-120u8½-125u8+100u8½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-120o8½+100o8-130o8½-105o8-120o8½+100o8½+114
Underu8-120u8+100u8½-120u8+110u8½-115u8+100u8+110u8½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o8-113
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
No Steam Moves On Under