Cubs at Phillies

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
42.0%58.0%
Cubs WinPhillies Win
4.11Projected Runs 4.94
4Final Score 3
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-54.221.347

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-24.821.464

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162
W 15-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Kyle Gibson+120
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • CHC: Adrian Sampson+138
L 4-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • CHC: Drew Smyly+220
L 2-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CHC: Marcus Stroman+120
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Zack Wheeler-166
L 15-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Kyle Gibson-123
W 4-0 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Aaron Nola • MIA: Trevor Rogers-125
W 10-0 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIA: Max Meyer+106
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Kyle Gibson • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+166

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • PAlec MillsUnknown
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CJ.T. RealmutoRest
  • PDamon Jones60-day IL
  • DHBryce Harper10-day IL
  • CFOdubel HerreraRest
  • PZach EflinUnknown
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL
WSW 8 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)94°96°94°94°
Humidity42%40%42%42%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 8 mphWSW 9 mphSW 10 mphSW 12 mph
Stu Scheurwater
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+130+105+103+100+103+103+105+109.1
Phillies-140-125-113-110-113-113-110-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+125+104+103+108+109+103+109+109.1
Phillies-135-114-113-118-119-113-113-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +108 to +100
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 40.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +112 to +101
Phillies ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-180+1½-178+1½-175+1½-178+1½-178+1½-175+1½-166
Phillies-1½+125-1½+155-1½+158-1½+155-1½+158-1½+158-1½+158-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-166
Phillies-1½+135-1½+160-1½+163-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+163-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10+100o10-105o10+100o10-105o10-105o10+100o10+104
Underu9½-115u10-120u10-115u10-120u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o10+100o9½-110o10+100o10+100o9½-115o9½-110o10+104
Underu10-110u10-120u9½-110u10-120u10-120u9½-105u9½-105u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u10-115 to u9½-115