Pirates at Phillies

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
42.3%57.7%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.34
9Final Score 2
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.291.588

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-21.890.895

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Spencer Turnbull+144
W 5-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bailey Falter • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+148
L 1-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Jared Jones • PHI: Ranger Suárez+123
L 5-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • PIT: Martín Pérez-117
W 4-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • PIT: Mitch Keller-122
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Spencer Turnbull-153
L 5-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-154
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • PHI: Ranger Suárez-128
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Aaron Nola • STL: Lance Lynn-132
L 0-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • STL: Sonny Gray-130

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMarco Gonzales15-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki15-day IL
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • LFEdward OlivaresRest

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon10-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker15-day IL
  • PDylan Covey15-day IL
  • -Luis Ortiz15-day IL
  • PMichael Rucker15-day IL
  • -Orion Kerkering15-day IL
SW 16 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownUnknown
 
Temp (°F)71°73°74°75°
Humidity36%35%34%35%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindSW 16 mphSW 17 mphSSW 18 mphSW 19 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+170+170+166+174+170+174+174+179.5
Phillies-186-186-202-190-180-190-180-179.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+164+165+168+168+164+165+168+179.5
Phillies-180-180-185-183-180-180-180-179.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +157 to +148
Phillies ML moved from -192 to -198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +160
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-133+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
Phillies-1½+115-1½+117-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+117-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-114
Phillies-1½+110-1½+115-1½+112-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-113o8½-125o8½-119o8½-120o8½-119o8½-113o8½-108
Underu8-105u8½-103u8½+105u8½-101u8½+100u8½-101u8½+105u8½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-125o9+110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o9+110o8½-108
Underu8-105u8½+105u9-130u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+105u8½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110