Phillies at Reds

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
56.5%43.5%
Phillies WinReds Win
4.27Projected Runs 3.58
2Final Score 6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-12.611.065

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-01.51.167

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • PHI: Zack Wheeler-187
L 8-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • PHI: Aaron Nola-135
W 3-15 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: Matt Strahm+119
L 6-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Connor Overton • PHI: Taijuan Walker-196
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Bailey Falter-133
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Spencer Strider+235
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Luis Cessa • ATL: Kyle Wright+213
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • ATL: Bryce Elder+170
W 6-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Connor Overton • PHI: Taijuan Walker+181
L 2-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Bailey Falter+127

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PCristopher SanchezUnknown
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon60-day IL
  • PNick NelsonUnknown
  • PNoah SongUnknown
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
  • 1BDarick Hall10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLuke WeaverUnknown
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelUnknown
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
SSE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°77°72°67°
Humidity27%33%41%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 4 mphSE 4 mphESE 3 mphESE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-105+104-105+101+102+101+104+105.7
Reds-105-112-115-111-112-111-111-105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+110+102+103+103-102+100+103+105.7
Reds-120-112-113-113-108-110-108-105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +116 to +105
Reds ML moved from -118 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +103 to -101
Reds ML moved from -102 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-190+1½-197+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-205+1½-197+1½-185
Reds-1½+165-1½+173-1½+170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-180+1½-185+1½-200+1½-215+1½-210+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185
Reds-1½+160-1½+165-1½+176-1½+178-1½+180-1½+165-1½+180-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9-103o9-105o9-103o9-105o9-103o9-103o9+106
Underu8½-120u9-113u9-115u9-117u9-115u9-117u9-113u9-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9+100o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-110o9+100o9+106
Underu8½-120u9-120u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-109 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115