Twins at Astros

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
40.5%59.5%
Twins WinAstros Win
3.94Projected Runs 4.94
7Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
184-44.651.319

Lance McCullers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
189-23.021.208

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 0-4 at Houston AstrosMIN: Michael Pineda • HOU: Luis Garcia+213
W 5-4 at Houston AstrosMIN: Bailey Ober • HOU: Zack Greinke+180
W 5-3 at Houston AstrosMIN: Griffin Jax • HOU: Framber Valdez+215
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Charlie Barnes • CIN: Luis Castillo+220
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Tyler Mahle+129
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Michael Pineda • HOU: Luis Garcia-230
L 5-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • HOU: Zack Greinke-195
L 5-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Griffin Jax • HOU: Framber Valdez-223
L 5-7 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Jake Odorizzi • LAD: Max Scherzer+214
W 3-0 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Lance McCullers • LAD: Walker Buehler+164

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PTaylor Rogers10-day IL
  • CFRob RefsnyderRest
  • CFKyle Garlick60-day IL
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonRest
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PDerek Law10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PTyler Ivey60-day IL
  • PAndre Scrubb10-day IL
  • 1BYuli Gurriel10-day IL
  • 2BJose AltuveRest
S 11 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°92°92°91°
Humidity66%65%66%68%
Precipitation2%3%3%4%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindS 11 mphS 12 mphS 13 mphS 13 mph
Vic Carapazza
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+179-+160+161+160+161+161-
Astros-195--185-175-175-175-175-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+172+160+162+160+164+164+164-
Astros-190-175-179-175-180-178-175-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +166 to +160
Astros ML moved from -185 to -191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +165 to +157
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-115-+1½-120+1½-123+1½-123+1½-123+1½-120-
Astros-1½-105--1½+100-1½+103-1½+103-1½+103-1½+103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-113+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120-
Astros-1½-105-1½+100-1½+107-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+107-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110-o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105-
Underu9-110-u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+100-
Underu9-110u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-107 to o8-113
The Under moved from u8-107 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115