Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
53.0%47.0%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.47Projected Runs 4.15
8Final Score 3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
162-53.351.286

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-01.420.789

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 0-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Wade Miley • PIT: Johan Oviedo-104
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Bryse Wilson+115
W 3-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Hayden Wesneski • PIT: Mitch Keller+106
W 4-3 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+104
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIA: Pablo Lopez+152
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Wade Miley • PIT: Johan Oviedo-104
L 6-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Bryse Wilson-117
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
L 2-14 at New York YankeesPIT: Roansy Contreras • NYY: Luis Severino+245
L 8-9 at New York YankeesPIT: Luis Ortiz • NYY: Nestor Cortes+270

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFSeiya SuzukiOut
  • 3BChristopher MorelRest
  • PDrew SmylyOut
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown
  • PWade MileyQuestionable
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BMichael ChavisRest
  • LFBen GamelRest
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
  • PJT BrubakerUnknown
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
NNW 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)68°70°70°70°
Humidity72%67%60%67%
Precipitation34%23%17%18%
ConditionPossible Light RainMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNNW 9 mphNW 11 mphWSW 15 mphW 16 mph
Chad Fairchild
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+122+113+120+120+120+122+123.4
Pirates-105-132-135-130-130-130-130-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+120+120+115+120+121+121+123.4
Pirates-105-130-131-130-130-131-130-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Pirates ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Pirates ML moved from -125 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+140+1½-183+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-169
Pirates+1½-165-1½+162-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+162-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+145+1½-180+1½-177+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-177+1½-169
Pirates+1½-165-1½+160-1½+157-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-103o8-120o8-125o8-125o8-125o8½-103o8-109
Underu8-115u8½-113u8+100u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-120o8-122o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-115u8+100u8+102u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+102u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-109 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115