Brewers at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
58.4%41.6%
Brewers WinReds Win
5.03Projected Runs 4.14
1Final Score 2
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-33.451.024

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-73.91.267

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 10-2 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-205
W 5-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa-152
W 5-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene-159
W 0-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIL: Adrian Houser+125
L 7-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIL: Aaron Ashby+110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 10-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+193
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa+148
L 5-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene+152
W 1-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Connor Seabold • CIN: Chase Anderson+136
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CIN: Nick Lodolo+113

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • COmar NarvaezRest
  • 1BRowdy TellezRest
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • 2BKolten WongRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • SSJose BarreroRest
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • DHJake FraleyRest
WNW 14 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°74°75°75°
Humidity55%51%50%50%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 14 mphW 15 mphW 15 mphWNW 15 mph
Chris Guccione
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-145-145-150-143-143-143-143-139.1
Reds+134+135+126+132+131+132+135+139.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-142-150-148-155-150-146-146-139.1
Reds+132+140+135+130+138+136+140+139.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -145 to -155
Reds ML moved from +132 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -144 to -152
Reds ML moved from +140 to +132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+120-1½+112-1½+110-1½+109-1½+109-1½+109-1½+112-1½+119
Reds+1½-140+1½-128+1½-130+1½-129+1½-129+1½-129+1½-128+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
Reds+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-118o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-118o8½-104
Underu8-120u8½+102u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+102u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-104
Underu7½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-107 to o8½-117
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-105

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u8-120