Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
48.9%51.1%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.68Projected Runs 3.80
13Final Score 3
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4
Rank21
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-01.81.4

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-12.111.313

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 7-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Walker Buehler • CLE: Doug Nikhazy-111
L 4-5 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-105
L 4-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryan Woo • BOS: Garrett Crochet-170
L 8-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • BOS: Sean Newcomb-130
W 3-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • BOS: Brayan Bello-113
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Walker Buehler • CLE: Doug Nikhazy+107
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-102
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodon • CLE: Luis Ortiz+153
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • CLE: Tanner Bibee-110
W 4-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Gavin Williams+116

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
NNW 8 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)55°56°57°58°
Humidity54%50%46%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 8 mphNW 7 mphNW 6 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-101-117-120-117-116-117-116-111.1
Guardians-109+107+100+106+106+106+107+111.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-101-115-110-115-120-113-110-111.1
Guardians-109+100-102+100+110+103+110+111.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -101 to -110
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -114 to -120
Guardians ML moved from +102 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-225-1½+147-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
Guardians-1½+189+1½-163+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-210+1½-250+1½-215-1½+150+1½-250-1½+145-1½+153
Guardians-1½+185-1½+210-1½+185+1½-170-1½+210+1½-165+1½-153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-113o7½-120o8-101o7½-120o8-101o7½-113o8+108
Underu7½+100u7½-103u7½+100u8-119u7½+100u8-119u7½+100u8-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o8+108
Underu8-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u8-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-119 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u8-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110