Brewers at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
49.5%50.5%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.52
8Final Score 10
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Aaron Ashby (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.00.833

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • MIL: Colin Rea-130
L 5-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • MIL: DL Hall-115
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • MIL: Freddy Peralta-118
L 7-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Paddack • MIL: Joe Ross-105
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Louie Varland • MIL: Jakob Junis-113
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • CIN: Andrew Abbott+108
W 6-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • CIN: Nick Martinez-118
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene-126
W 4-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Frankie Montas • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162
L 4-9 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • PHI: Spencer Turnbull+128

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • -Taylor Clarke15-day IL
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PJakob JunisQuestionable
  • PTrevor MegillUnknown
  • PDevin Williams15-day IL
  • PWade Miley15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain60-day IL
  • PAlex Young15-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaUnknown
  • PIan Gibaut15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
SW 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°72°68°65°
Humidity47%54%64%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 7 mphSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+110-107-111-108-105-108-105-102.8
Reds-120-103-109-102-105-102-102+102.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+100-108-104-110-105-110-104-102.8
Reds-110-102-106-105-105+100+100+102.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +102 to -105
Reds ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -102 to -110
Reds ML moved from +102 to -105

Run Lines

 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-190+1½-183-1½+145+1½-198+1½-200+1½-198+1½-181
Reds-1½+165-1½+162+1½-170-1½+173-1½+170-1½+173-1½+181
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-200+1½-195-1½+160+1½-200+1½-190+1½-181
Reds-1½+165-1½+175-1½+173+1½-180-1½+175-1½+165-1½+181

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½+102o9½-105o9½-102o9½-105o9½-102o9½+102o9½+107
Underu9½-115u9½-118u9½-115u9½-118u9½-115u9½-118u9½-115u9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+107
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-115