Pirates at Marlins

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
45.1%54.9%
Pirates WinMarlins Win
3.89Projected Runs 4.40
2Final Score 3

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-64.381.429

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-34.331.33

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsPIT: JT Brubaker • MIA: Pablo Lopez+170
W 3-2 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Chris Stratton • MIA: Daniel Castano+146
W 5-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Trevor Rogers+152
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Jose Quintana • MIL: Eric Lauer+155
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+250
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • MIA: Pablo Lopez-168
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chris Stratton • MIA: Daniel Castano-150
L 5-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Trevor Rogers-162
W 2-0 at New York MetsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • NYM: Taijuan Walker-102
L 4-5 at New York MetsMIA: Braxton Garrett • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+163

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CTyler HeinemanOut
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BGarrett CooperUnknown
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • 3BJoey WendleRest
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • PJesus Luzardo60-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PEdward CabreraUnknown
ESE 11 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)89°90°87°86°
Humidity64%62%64%76%
Precipitation2%4%4%4%
ConditionHumidHumidHumidHumid
WindESE 11 mphESE 12 mphSE 12 mphSE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+150+134+134+143+133+134+143+144.6
Marlins-160-160-145-153-145-145-145-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+142+138+140+135+146+141+146+144.6
Marlins-155-148-154-160-160-151-148-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +149 to +141
Marlins ML moved from -157 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +143 to +135
Marlins ML moved from -151 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-149
Marlins-1½+120-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-150+1½-165+1½-150+1½-149
Marlins-1½+130-1½+145-1½+141-1½+140-1½+130-1½+145-1½+145-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+100o7½-109o7½-110o7½-108o7½-109o7½+100o7½+100
Underu7½-115u7½-120u7½-111u7½-110u7½-112u7½-111u7½-110u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-115u7½-105u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-106 to o7½-112
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120