Marlins at Phillies

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
41.7%58.3%
Marlins WinPhillies Win
3.76Projected Runs 4.62
3Final Score 4
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-105.571.559

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-34.081.186

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Jesus Luzardo • PHI: Aaron Nola+205
L 1-7 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Max Fried+216
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Edward Cabrera • ATL: Bryce Elder+152
L 1-8 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Charlie Morton+165
L 2-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • MIA: Trevor Rogers+147
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • PHI: Aaron Nola-220
L 3-5 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Ranger Suarez • SFG: Carlos Rodon+102
L 4-5 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Noah Syndergaard • SFG: Jakob Junis-115
L 1-13 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Kyle Gibson • SFG: Alex Cobb+107
W 18-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Bailey Falter • ARI: Tommy Henry-125

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • PBraxton GarrettUnknown
  • 3BBrian AndersonRest
  • PAnthony BenderUnknown
  • CFPeyton BurdickRest

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PSeranthony DominguezUnknown
  • PZack WheelerUnknown
  • RFNick Castellanos10-day IL
  • PCorey KnebelUnknown
  • 2BBryson StottRest
NE 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°69°69°69°
Humidity89%91%93%93%
Precipitation14%10%8%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 6 mphNE 5 mphNE 5 mphNE 6 mph
Scott Barry
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+157+147+141+148+146+148+148+152.9
Phillies-171-157-170-161-161-161-157-152.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+157+144+148+143+149+148+149+152.9
Phillies-172-154-163-170-163-158-154-152.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +139 to +132
Phillies ML moved from -154 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +152 to +143
Phillies ML moved from -178 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-145+1½-143+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-143+1½-138
Phillies-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-140+1½-160+1½-151+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Phillies-1½+120-1½+140-1½+132-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+140-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-103o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu8-110u7½-113u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-113u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+109
Underu8-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-116 to o7½-122
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115