Cubs at Twins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
41.7%58.3%
Cubs WinTwins Win
4.15Projected Runs 5.03
3Final Score 0

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-24.151.346

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-1 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant+142
L 1-13 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CHW: Dylan Cease+227
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Alec Mills • CHW: Lance Lynn+281
L 13-17 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Keegan Thompson • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+196
L 13-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • CHC: Justin Steele+134
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant-145
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersMIN: Bailey Ober • DET: Casey Mize-124
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • MIN: Griffin Jax+142
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • MIN: Charlie Barnes+137
W 0-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • MIN: Andrew Albers+121

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • 3BMatt DuffyUnknown
  • SSSergio AlcantaraUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PLuke Farrell60-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • RFMax KeplerRest
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
SE 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°72°70°69°
Humidity53%60%67%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mph
Bruce Dreckman
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+130+160+164+167+163+164+167-
Twins-141-185-178-177-178-178-177-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+132+165+158+165+161+162+165-
Twins-145-180-174-180-177-174-174-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Twins ML moved from -175 to -181

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +158 to +150
Twins ML moved from -161 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-130+1½-129+1½-130+1½-129+1½-129+1½-129-
Twins-1½+130-1½+110-1½+109-1½+110-1½+109-1½+109-1½+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-152+1½-135+1½-128+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-128-
Twins-1½+133-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-105o9+105o9-105o9+105o9+105o9+105-
Underu9-105u9-115u9-125u9-115u9-125u9-125u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-105o9-103o9+100o9-110o9-105o9+100-
Underu9-120u9-115u9-117u9-120u9-110u9-115u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-113 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115
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