Rays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
48.5%51.5%
Rays WinRed Sox Win
5.05Projected Runs 5.21
4Final Score 5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-35.881.355

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-23.61.133

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
W 5-3 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Zach Eflin • BOS: Kutter Crawford+105
L 10-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luis Gil • TBR: Tyler Alexander+133
W 2-7 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • TBR: Zack Littell-103
L 2-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • TBR: Taj Bradley+120
L 4-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Chris Flexen • TBR: Aaron Civale-250
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • BOS: Kutter Crawford-112
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • BOS: Brayan Bello-130
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • BOS: Cooper Criswell-152
L 5-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • BOS: Tanner Houck-206
L 0-5 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Nick Pivetta • ATL: Chris Sale+194

Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PRyan Pepiot15-day IL
  • 2BBrandon Lowe10-day IL
  • PJacob Waguespack15-day IL
  • -Chris Devenski15-day IL
  • PColin Poche15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas60-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
SSW 12 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°66°64°62°
Humidity58%64%70%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 12 mphSSW 11 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+104+109+106+109+112+109+112+113.6
Red Sox-114-119-126-119-122-119-119-113.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+108+108+109+102+105+110+110+113.6
Red Sox-118-118-119-117-115-120-115-113.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from +102 to -104
Red Sox ML moved from -109 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from +100 to -102
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+1½-182+1½-183+1½-185+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-167
Red Sox-1½+162-1½+162-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-167
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+165-1½+163-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9½-103o9½+100o9½-108o9½+100o9½-108o9½+100o9½+102
Underu8½-110u9½-113u9½-120u9½-112u9½-120u9½-112u9½-112u9½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-115o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-115o9½+102
Underu8½-105u9-105u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+105u9½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-116 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
No Steam Moves On Under