Blue Jays at Braves

Updated

Toronto Blue Jays

(72-80)
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
43.2%56.8%
Blue Jays WinBraves Win
3.57Projected Runs 4.28
1Final Score 3

Atlanta Braves

(82-70)
Rank6
R/G4.3
RA/G3.8
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G4.3
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Kevin Gausman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2712-104.071.229

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
248-83.521.209

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • TOR: Bowden Francis+122
L 10-9 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Tyler Phillips • TOR: Chris Bassitt-108
L 3-4 at Minnesota TwinsTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • MIN: Bailey Ober+240
W 15-0 at Minnesota TwinsTOR: Jose Berrios • MIN: Zebby Matthews+130
L 0-2 at Minnesota TwinsTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIN: Pablo Lopez+167
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez-274
W 2-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Bradley Blaylock • ATL: Charlie Morton-265
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • ATL: Chris Sale-350
L 2-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • PHI: Aaron Nola+113
L 0-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Max Fried • PHI: Zack Wheeler+152

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PAlek ManoahOut for Season
  • 3BAddison BargerRest

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 2BWhit MerrifieldIn Lineup
  • PA.J. Minter60-day IL
  • 3BAustin Riley15-day IL
SE 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°73°72°71°
Humidity68%72%74%77%
Precipitation10%0%0%9%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 4 mphSSE 3 mphSSE 3 mphS 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+156+150+140+148+150+148+150+153.3
Braves-170-162-168-162-160-162-160-153.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+160+152+150+156+147+147+156+153.3
Braves-175-162-165-171-161-162-161-153.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Blue Jays ML
Braves ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +154 to +147
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-140+1½-143+1½-150+1½-148+1½-145+1½-148+1½-143+1½-136
Braves-1½+120-1½+127-1½+130-1½+128-1½+125-1½+128-1½+130-1½+136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-140+1½-150+1½-148+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-136
Braves-1½+120-1½+130-1½+130-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+130-1½+136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-103o7½-103o7½-105o7½+100o7½-115o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu8-113u7½-113u7½-115u7½-120u7½-105u7½-120u7½-105u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+100o7½-110o7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½+100u7½-120u7½-110u7½+100u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o8+100
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120
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