Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
37.2%62.8%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.65
5Final Score 4

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-34.341.313

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-11.050.814

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-5 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Joan Adon • MIA: Cody Poteet+140
L 2-8 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Aaron Sanchez • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+168
L 8-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • WSN: Patrick Corbin+172
W 6-13 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • WSN: Erick Fedde+124
L 6-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • WSN: Josiah Gray+136
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • MIA: Cody Poteet-145
W 2-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Aaron Sanchez • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-176
L 7-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+163
W 3-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • MIA: Trevor Rogers+109
L 2-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • MIA: Pablo Lopez+136

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PSean Doolittle60-day IL
  • -Hunter Harvey10-day IL
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PAnibal Sanchez60-day IL
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFJorge SolerRest
  • 3BJoey Wendle10-day IL
  • PJesus LuzardoUnknown
  • PPaul Campbell10-day IL
ESE 11 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°83°81°80°
Humidity69%74%77%83%
Precipitation2%4%6%7%
ConditionHumidHumidHumidHumid
WindESE 11 mphESE 10 mphSE 8 mphSE 7 mph
Mark Carlson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+140+153+159+165+158+159+165+165.5
Marlins-150-185-173-175-173-173-173-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+160+170+162+162+166+164+170+165.5
Marlins-170-185-179-177-183-178-177-165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +164 to +158
Marlins ML moved from -192 to -199

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 40.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +174 to +164
Marlins ML moved from -193 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
Marlins-1½+140-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-155+1½-140+1½-139+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-139+1½-128
Marlins-1½+135-1½+120-1½+121-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-125o7-130o7-125o7-130o7-130o7-125o7-114
Underu7½-120u7+105u7+110u7+105u7+110u7+110u7+110u7+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-120o7-130o7-125o7½+105o7-125o7-120o7-114
Underu7½-120u7+100u7+110u7+105u7½-125u7+105u7+110u7+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-122 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7-110