Pirates at Twins

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
42.4%57.6%
Pirates WinTwins Win
3.47Projected Runs 4.27
7Final Score 4
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
259-84.271.276

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
246-53.041.218

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-5 at Minnesota TwinsPIT: Andre Jackson • MIN: Pablo López+198
L 3-8 at New York MetsPIT: Johan Oviedo • NYM: Tylor Megill+112
W 7-4 at New York MetsPIT: Bailey Falter • NYM: David Peterson+138
L 2-7 at New York MetsPIT: Quinn Priester • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+125
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • PIT: Andre Jackson-105
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andre Jackson • MIN: Pablo López-215
L 8-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • MIN: Kenta Maeda-170
W 3-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Alex Faedo • MIN: Bailey Ober-180
W 3-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIN: Sonny Gray • PHI: Ranger Suárez+110
W 8-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIN: Pablo López • PHI: Taijuan Walker-119

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSTucupita Marcano60-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta15-day IL
  • 3BJared TrioloRest
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMatt WallnerUnknown
  • LFWilli Castro10-day IL
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL
  • 1BAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • PJoe Ryan15-day IL
NW 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°89°86°84°
Humidity58%62%67%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+160+157+151+153+155+153+157+158.2
Twins-175-170-183-167-165-167-165-158.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+160+155+153+150+154+150+155+158.2
Twins-175-170-168-178-168-175-168-158.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +160 to +147
Twins ML moved from -172 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +143
Twins ML moved from -170 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-133+1½-135+1½-136+1½-135+1½-136+1½-133+1½-124
Twins-1½+125-1½+117-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+116-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-124
Twins-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+118-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-113o8½-125o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-113o8½-109
Underu8-105u8½-103u8½+105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+105u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under