Twins at Padres

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
47.7%52.3%
Twins WinPadres Win
3.49Projected Runs 3.73
7Final Score 4
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-33.521.101

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
178-32.630.988

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 1-10 at San Diego PadresMIN: Joe Ryan • SDP: Blake Snell+122
L 4-10 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Chris Archer • MIL: Corbin Burnes+195
L 6-7 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Dylan Bundy • MIL: Ethan Small+103
W 9-1 at Detroit TigersMIN: Sonny Gray • DET: Rony Garcia-159
W 8-4 at Detroit TigersMIN: Joe Ryan • DET: Michael Pineda-160
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 1-10 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • SDP: Blake Snell-123
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersSDP: Yu Darvish • DET: Tarik Skubal-134
W 6-4 at Detroit TigersSDP: Mike Clevinger • DET: Garrett Hill-170
L 4-12 at Detroit TigersSDP: Sean Manaea • DET: Drew Hutchison-158
L 5-8 at New York MetsSDP: Joe Musgrove • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+130

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • 3BGio UrshelaRest
  • CRyan Jeffers10-day IL
  • 1BMiguel Sano10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 2BJake CronenworthRest
  • PMacKenzie GoreUnknown
  • PCraig StammenUnknown
  • SSCJ AbramsUnknown
WSW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°75°74°72°
Humidity64%65%66%78%
Precipitation3%3%3%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mph
Adam Hamari
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+120+120+113+117+118+117+117+120+122.4
Padres-130-129-135-127-128-127-127-127-122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+122+120+117+115+124+117+124+122.4
Padres-132-130-128-130-134-127-127-122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Padres ML moved from -122 to -132

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-183+1½-185+1½-182+1½-185+1½-182+1½-182+1½-182+1½-169
Padres-1½+150-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+162-1½+162-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-169
Padres-1½+155-1½+160-1½+168-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+168-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7-113o7½+110o7½+110o7½+105o7½+110o7½+110o7-113o7½+114
Underu7+100u7-103u7½-130u7½-130u7½-125u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+114
Underu7½-120u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-130 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7½-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7½-130