Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Dodgers | 33.9% 66.1% | +222 -235 +220 -240 | +1½+120 -1½-113 +1½+110 -1½-125 | 2 19 | -0.36652-0.36652 | -0.41331 | |
| Houston Astros Texas Rangers | 47.0% 53.0% | +122 -126 +120 -127 | +1½-193 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+180 | 0 1 | -0.59220-0.59470 | -0.63571 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays | 41.0% 59.0% | +154 -162 +156 -165 | +1½-113 -1½+130 +1½-135 -1½+130 | 8 3 | -0.94412-0.95319 | -0.89174 | |
| Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds | 34.5% 65.5% | +210 -230 +210 -230 | +1½+107 -1½-118 +1½+105 -1½-120 | 1 7 | -0.38037-0.38037 | -0.42274 | |
| Minnesota Twins Baltimore Orioles | 47.3% 52.7% | +119 -126 +121 -126 | +1½-173 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 4 0 | -0.79795-0.80294 | -0.74798 | |
| Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves | 35.2% 64.8% | +180 -190 +180 -190 | +1½-113 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 2 5 | -0.43510-0.43510 | -0.43408 | |
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Dodgers | 28.8% 71.2% | +253 -275 +254 -270 | +1½+130 -1½-138 +1½+125 -1½-135 | 3 9 | -0.32664-0.32723 | -0.33944 | |
| Los Angeles Angels San Diego Padres | 34.5% 65.5% | +172 -176 +167 -180 | +1½-116 -1½+107 +1½-125 -1½+110 | 1 5 | -0.45523-0.45907 | -0.42332 | |
| Kansas City Royals Houston Astros | 45.7% 54.3% | +122 -117 +113 -120 | +1½-183 -1½+168 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 3 4 | -0.60728-0.62096 | -0.60980 | |
| Colorado Rockies Texas Rangers | 32.1% 67.9% | +200 -210 +205 -220 | +1½-103 -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-110 | 3 8 | -0.40015-0.38995 | -0.38781 | |
| Miami Marlins Chicago Cubs | 31.8% 68.2% | +187 -202 +191 -203 | +1½-118 -1½+107 +1½-115 -1½+105 | 3 1 | -1.07148-1.08167 | -1.14652 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates New York Mets | 32.1% 67.9% | +225 -244 +233 -260 | +1½+110 -1½-120 +1½+110 -1½-120 | 4 0 | -1.19551-1.22523 | -1.13772 | |
| Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves | 38.6% 61.4% | +168 -178 +163 -170 | +1½-128 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 5 4 | -0.99916-0.97678 | -0.95171 | |
| Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds | 33.1% 66.9% | +176 -186 +180 -190 | +1½-110 -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½+100 | 4 2 | -1.02781-1.04185 | -1.10512 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays | 41.8% 58.2% | +144 -150 +145 -155 | +1½-153 -1½+143 +1½-150 -1½+140 | 1 3 | -0.52062-0.51371 | -0.54120 | |
| Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers | 34.9% 65.1% | +210 -225 +210 -230 | +1½-108 -1½-105 +1½-110 -1½-107 | 5 6 | -0.38251-0.38037 | -0.42975 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.58604 | |
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.58880 | |
| DRatings | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.59093 | -0.00488 -0.00212 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.