MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
53.3%
46.7%
-102
+101
-110
+104
-1½+163
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
3
7
-0.70059-0.72685-0.76096
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.7%
57.3%
+136
-143
+137
-138
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
0
2
-0.54235-0.54678-0.55647
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
53.5%
46.5%
-144
+137
-147
+137
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
3
1
-0.53940-0.53589-0.62554
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
51.8%
48.2%
-118
+111
-115
+110
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
5
4
-0.62891-0.63673-0.65782
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
43.8%
56.2%
+120
-128
+123
-127
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
0
-0.80428-0.80986-0.82627
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
50.0%
50.0%
-112
+108
-112
+112
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
2
-0.64712-0.63809-0.69265
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
52.7%
47.3%
+109
-115
+110
-115
+1½-197
-1½+175

1
4
-0.63898-0.63673-0.74898
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
47.4%
52.6%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+160
+1½-168

0
3
-0.72144-0.71668-0.64302
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
43.6%
56.4%
+133
-141
+135
-137
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+143
5
6
-0.55017-0.55166-0.57226
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
48.9%
51.1%
-109
+101
-102
-105
-1½+160
+1½-163
-1½+170
+1½-185
2
7
-0.71701-0.68605-0.67233
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
42.7%
57.3%
+143
-147
+135
-143
+1½-148
-1½+138
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
2
-0.89453-0.86833-0.85036
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
52.8%
47.2%
-123
+113
-120
+123
-1½+151
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-165
3
0
-0.61582-0.60000-0.63957
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.9%
59.1%
+137
-144
+138
-142
+1½-153
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
2
-0.87491-0.87402-0.89296
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
45.2%
54.8%
+132
-137
+132
-135
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
7
-0.55713-0.55979-0.60064
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.0%
56.0%
+123
-130
+126
-131
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+163
5
7
-0.58410-0.57675-0.57946
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
40.0%
60.0%
+184
-187
+180
-189
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+112
5
6
-0.43205-0.43573-0.51094
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.