MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 18, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (11-7)
Chicago Cubs (12-9)
Corbin Burnes
Colin Rea
48.0%
52.0%
-120
+115
-125
+119
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
5.03
5.23
10.26
o11-103
u11-113
o10½-125
u10½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (8-11)
Detroit Tigers (10-8)
Cole Ragans
Jackson Jobe
50.3%
49.7%
-133
+123
-132
+125
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
3.54
3.52
7.06
o7½+102
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-120
Cleveland Guardians (9-8)
Pittsburgh Pirates (7-12)
Luis Ortiz
Carmen Mlodzinski
52.5%
47.5%
-128
+120
-128
+120
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.37
4.11
8.48
o8½-120
u8½+107
o8½-120
u9-120
Miami Marlins (8-9)
Philadelphia Phillies (10-8)
Sandy Alcántara
Zack Wheeler
28.4%
71.6%
+190
-199
+187
-202
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2.59
4.81
7.40
o7½-103
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½-110
New York Yankees (11-7)
Tampa Bay Rays (8-10)
Carlos Rodon
Drew Rasmussen
53.4%
46.6%
-102
-106
-104
-105

+1½-215
-1½+195
3.80
3.44
7.24
o8½+102
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Cincinnati Reds (9-9)
Baltimore Orioles (7-10)
Andrew Abbott
Cade Povich
48.0%
52.0%
+140
-147
+137
-148
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+145
4.10
4.31
8.41
o9-115
u9+102
o9-115
u9+100
Seattle Mariners (9-9)
Toronto Blue Jays (11-8)
Bryan Woo
Bowden Francis
49.4%
50.6%
-108
+100
-110
+101
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-165
3.67
3.74
7.41
o8+102
u8-115
o7½-115
u7½+100
St. Louis Cardinals (9-9)
New York Mets (11-7)
Miles Mikolas
David Peterson
38.1%
61.9%
+149
-159
+148
-158
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
4.10
5.35
9.45
o8-102
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Chicago White Sox (4-13)
Boston Red Sox (10-10)
Martín Pérez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
30.9%
69.1%
+180
-200
+175
-196
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
3.62
5.58
9.20
o9-118
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Minnesota Twins (7-12)
Atlanta Braves (5-13)
Chris Paddack
Bryce Elder
40.9%
59.1%
+124
-128
+123
-132
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
3.43
4.38
7.81
o8½-103
u8½-113
o8½+100
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (14-6)
Texas Rangers (11-7)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Jacob deGrom
58.7%
41.3%
-137
+135
-140
+130
-1½+124
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
3.95
3.03
6.98
o8-105
u8-108
o8+100
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (15-4)
Houston Astros (8-10)
Kyle Hart
Ryan Gusto
49.7%
50.3%
+124
-133
+120
-129
+1½-170
-1½+156
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.43
4.46
8.89
o9-103
u9-110
o9+100
u9-115
Oakland Athletics (8-10)
Milwaukee Brewers (10-9)
J.T. Ginn
Freddy Peralta
33.6%
66.4%
+142
-148
+141
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.04
4.73
7.77
o8-102
u8-108
o8+100
u8-115
Washington Nationals (7-11)
Colorado Rockies (3-15)
MacKenzie Gore
Chase Dollanger
56.6%
43.4%
-128
+119
-128
+118
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+123
+1½-140
4.84
4.16
9.00
o9-108
u9-108
o9+100
u9-110
San Francisco Giants (13-5)
Los Angeles Angels (9-8)
Logan Webb
Tyler Anderson
62.5%
37.5%
-147
+140
-150
+137
-1½+110
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-128
4.61
3.29
7.90
o8-108
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Games for Apr 17, 2025
Games for Apr 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
51.6%
48.4%
-105
-103
+100
-108
-1½+152
+1½-163

5
3
-0.68844-0.71219-0.66256
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
63.5%
36.5%
-136
+129
-137
+128
-1½+120
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-135
6
2
-0.56405-0.56460-0.45345
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.1%
50.9%
+101
-109
+100
-104


1
6
-0.66984-0.68349-0.67466
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
44.2%
55.8%
+113
-121
+108
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
9
-0.61923-0.63747-0.58361
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
46.1%
53.9%
+100
-102
+100
-102

+1½-210
-1½+200
2
4
-0.68824-0.68824-0.61836
Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals
50.5%
49.5%
-104
-103
-105
-103

+1½-210
-1½+190
1
4
-0.69551-0.69788-0.70247
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
48.6%
51.4%
+107
-113
+107
-112
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+175
3
4
-0.64741-0.64942-0.66528
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
44.2%
55.8%
+140
-145
+136
-147
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
5
-0.53299-0.53765-0.58352
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
54.0%
46.0%
-119
+112
-124
+115
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
1
3
-0.76638-0.78397-0.77759
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.3%
71.7%
+252
-275
+260
-285
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+130
-1½-140
2
6
-0.32744-0.31864-0.33282
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
50.9%
49.1%
-147
+140
-148
+139
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
1
-0.53071-0.53128-0.67560
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
45.5%
54.5%
+124
-133
+126
-133
+1½-173
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+155
0
4
-0.57778-0.57389-0.60732
Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals
50.1%
49.9%
-136
+130
-136
+127
-1½+132
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
2
0
-0.56217-0.56784-0.69111
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
55.3%
44.7%
-105
-104
-102
+100


0
5
-0.69549-0.69808-0.80470
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
52.9%
47.1%
-104
-102
-104
+102
-1½+157
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
3
6
-0.69794-0.70794-0.75313
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
57.4%
42.6%
-152
+143
-155
+141
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-125
12
3
-0.52014-0.52037-0.55497
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks108-2 (0.800)0-0.58298 
Sportsbooks108-2 (0.800)0-0.58328 
DRatings109-1 (0.900)0-0.59371
-0.01073
-0.01043

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.