Guardians at Pirates

Updated
Rank15
R/G3.8
RA/G4.6
53.1%46.9%
Guardians WinPirates Win
4.46Projected Runs 4.14
10Final Score 7
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank15
R/G3.8
RA/G4.6
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-26.061.408

Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-26.231.769

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Tanner Bibee • BAL: Tomoyuki Sugano+127
L 1-9 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Gavin Williams • BAL: Dean Kremer+108
W 6-3 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Logan Allen • BAL: Charlie Morton+135
L 4-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • CLE: Ben Lively+131
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • CLE: Luis Ortiz-125
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • PIT: Andrew Heaney-138
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • PIT: Bailey Falter-104
L 3-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • PIT: Mitch Keller-118
W 3-10 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Brad Lord • PIT: Paul Skenes-190
L 0-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CIN: Hunter Greene+165

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
  • PJohn Means60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
SW 14 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°76°73°71°
Humidity36%37%40%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 14 mphSW 11 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-113-124-130-127-123-127-123-120.3
Pirates+103+114+108+115+113+115+115+120.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-110-125-125-128-122-124-122-120.3
Pirates+100+110+112+113+112+114+114+120.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -125 to -133
Pirates ML moved from +123 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -119 to -128
Pirates ML moved from +119 to +112

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+140-1½+132-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138
Pirates+1½-160+1½-148+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-148+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Pirates+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9+102o9-105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+102o9+109
Underu8½-105u9-118u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o9+105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o9+105o9+109
Underu8½+100u8½+100u9-125u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+105u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-130