Nationals at Pirates

Updated
Rank27
R/G4.0
RA/G5.1
36.3%63.7%
Nationals WinPirates Win
3.15Projected Runs 4.58
3Final Score 10
Rank25
R/G3.4
RA/G4.2
Rank27
R/G4.0
RA/G5.1
Rank25
R/G3.4
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Brad Lord (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.81.8

Paul Skenes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-13.440.818

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-11 at Miami MarlinsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Cal Quantrill-147
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Sandy Alcántara+130
W 5-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera-107
L 6-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Landon Knack • WSN: Jake Irvin+173
W 2-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Justin Wrobleski • WSN: Brad Lord+165
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CIN: Hunter Greene+165
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Andrew Heaney • CIN: Andrew Abbott+114
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Brady Singer+153
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+102
L 5-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PIT: Paul Skenes-140

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJoey BartRest
  • SSO'Neil CruzIn Lineup
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
WSW 13 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°68°65°64°
Humidity56%62%69%70%
Precipitation0%13%12%15%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 13 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 7 mphWSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+186+177+171+177+179+177+179+183.7
Pirates-206-195-211-197-189-197-189-183.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+177+170+170+175+177+175+177+183.7
Pirates-205-190-190-190-205-195-190-183.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +182 to +175
Pirates ML moved from -189 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +230 to +171
Pirates ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115+1½-118+1½-120+1½-116+1½-125+1½-116+1½-116+1½-105
Pirates-1½-105-1½+102-1½+100-1½-104-1½+105-1½-104-1½+105-1½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-105
Pirates-1½-105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½-105-1½-105-1½+110-1½+105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-113o7½-113o8+100o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-113o7½-109
Underu7-103u7½-103u8-120u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½-115o7½-125o7½-110o7½-110o7½-120o7½-110o7½-109
Underu7-105u7½-105u7½+105u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100u7½+105u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-108 to o7½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120