Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.4
RA/G4.2
35.5%64.5%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.05Projected Runs 4.57
0Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.2
RA/G3.7
Rank25
R/G3.4
RA/G4.2
Rank19
R/G4.2
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-15.191.846

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-11.310.629

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Andrew Heaney • CIN: Andrew Abbott+114
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Brady Singer+153
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+102
L 5-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PIT: Paul Skenes-140
W 4-8 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+101
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andrew Heaney • CIN: Andrew Abbott-116
W 3-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Brady Singer-160
L 6-8 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Nick Martinez • SFG: Justin Verlander+131
W 1-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Nick Lodolo • SFG: Landen Roupp+120
W 2-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Hunter Greene • SFG: Logan Webb+155

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFAustin Hays10-day IL
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
S 9 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)58°60°61°62°
Humidity45%43%43%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindS 9 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphS 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+160+161-+158+163+158+163+164.2
Reds-177-175--175-173-175-173-164.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+167+163+155+165+156+161+165+164.2
Reds-184-180-173-180-178-176-173-164.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +169 to +158
Reds ML moved from -183 to -189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +172 to +165
Reds ML moved from -180 to -187

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-128-+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-128+1½-122
Reds-1½+125-1½+112--1½+115-1½+115-1½+113-1½+115-1½+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-122
Reds-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+122

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o7½+107-o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+107o7½+114
Underu8½-125u7½-123-u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7½-115u7½-125u7½-125u7½-115u7½-115u7½-125u7½-115u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-106 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115