Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank27
R/G4.0
RA/G5.1
60.1%39.9%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.71Projected Runs 3.65
4Final Score 11
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.1
Rank27
R/G4.0
RA/G5.1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.1

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-12.651.059

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-16.01.444

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Sandy Alcántara+130
W 5-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera-107
L 6-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Landon Knack • WSN: Jake Irvin+173
W 2-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Justin Wrobleski • WSN: Brad Lord+165
W 4-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+163
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Sandy Alcántara-140
L 5-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera+100
W 5-0 at New York MetsMIA: Max Meyer • NYM: Tylor Megill+180
L 5-10 at New York MetsMIA: Connor Gillispie • NYM: Clay Holmes+240
L 0-2 at New York MetsMIA: Valente Bellozo • NYM: Kodai Senga+238

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PJesus Tinoco15-day IL
  • PRyan Weathers15-day IL
E 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°79°79°79°
Humidity47%49%50%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindE 7 mphE 8 mphE 10 mphE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-130-135-153-150-147-150-135-141.6
Marlins+118+125+128+136+137+136+137+141.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+133-160-153-148-147-148-147-141.6
Marlins-145+145+137+133+131+134+145+141.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from -136 to -142
Marlins ML moved from +132 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from -140 to -148
Marlins ML moved from +130 to +121

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+130-1½+127-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+127-1½+124
Marlins+1½-150+1½-143+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-145-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124
Marlins-1½+125+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-113o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8-120u8-103u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-103u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8+100
Underu8½-115u8-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-125 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-120