Nationals at Pirates

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.3
RA/G5.2
41.8%58.2%
Nationals WinPirates Win
3.92Projected Runs 4.78
3Final Score 0
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.3
RA/G5.2
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-05.631.5

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-14.241.353

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-10 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Brad Lord • PIT: Paul Skenes+177
L 4-11 at Miami MarlinsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Cal Quantrill-147
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Sandy Alcántara+130
W 5-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera-107
L 6-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Landon Knack • WSN: Jake Irvin+173
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-10 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Brad Lord • PIT: Paul Skenes-190
L 0-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CIN: Hunter Greene+165
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Andrew Heaney • CIN: Andrew Abbott+114
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Brady Singer+153
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+102

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJoey BartRest
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • CEndy RodriguezRest
WNW 17 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)45°44°43°42°
Humidity63%66%69%73%
Precipitation13%17%16%18%
ConditionWindyWindyCloudyCloudy
WindWNW 17 mphWNW 16 mphWNW 14 mphWNW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+114+109+110+107+111+107+111+112.0
Pirates-126-119-132-118-121-118-118-112.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+108+110+106+117+110+110+117+112.0
Pirates-120-125-118-132-120-120-118-112.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +113 to +106
Pirates ML moved from -133 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 80.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +120 to +110
Pirates ML moved from -122 to -131

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-195+1½-188+1½-195+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-188+1½-178
Pirates-1½+170-1½+167-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-195+1½-185+1½-215+1½-180+1½-190+1½-185+1½-180+1½-178
Pirates-1½+170-1½+165-1½+185-1½+160-1½+170-1½+165-1½+185-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-102o8-118o8-115o8½-101o8½+105o8½-101o8½+105o8½+108
Underu8-118u8+102u8-105u8½-119u8½-125u8½-119u8+102u8½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+108
Underu8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-120