NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Syracuse Orange (3-1)
Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1)
29.3%
70.7%
+525
-650
+540
-700
+11½-108
-11½-108
+12-110
-11-110
74.8
81.0
155.8
o150½-110
u151½-108
o151-110
u152½-110
St. John's Red Storm (4-1)
Virginia Cavaliers (3-1)
73.3%
26.7%
-620
+500
-600
+475
-10½-108
+10½-105
-10-110
+10½-110
70.0
62.8
132.8
o128-110
u129-108
o128-110
u128-110
Southern Illinois Salukis (2-2)
Florida Gators (5-0)
7.1%
92.9%
+1221
-2435
+1300
-2400
+19-108
-19-105
+19½-110
-18½-110
70.4
85.6
156.0
o158½-108
u159½-110
o158-110
u158½-110
William & Mary Tribe (3-3)
NC State Wolfpack (4-0)
7.2%
92.8%
+975
-1545
+1000
-1600
+16-108
-16-105
+16-110
-16-110
70.0
85.2
155.2
o164-108
u165-110
o163½-110
u164-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Merrimack Warriors (1-3)
Butler Bulldogs (3-1)
9.0%
91.0%
+580
-750
+575
-800
+12½-108
-12½-105
+12½-110
-12-110
61.4
74.9
136.3
o135-108
u135½-105
o135½-110
u136-110
VMI Keydets (4-2)
Davidson Wildcats (3-0)
3.8%
96.2%
+1259
-2350
+1300
-2000
+19½-107
-19½-108
+20-110
-19½-110
66.2
85.3
151.5
o147½+105
u147-108
o146½-110
u148-110
Drexel Dragons (3-2)
Fordham Rams (3-2)
35.9%
64.1%
+240
-260
+250
-280
+7-105
-6½-110
+7-110
-6½-110
66.3
70.9
137.2
o136-110
u136½+100
o136½-110
u137½-110
Colgate Raiders (1-3)
Harvard Crimson (1-4)
58.8%
41.2%
-120
+110
-130
+115
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-110
+2-110
70.2
67.0
137.2
o141½-115
u142½-108
o142-110
u142-110
Morgan State Bears (3-3)
Buffalo Bulls (2-3)
32.5%
67.5%
+145
-165
+135
-155
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-110
76.0
81.6
157.6
o156½-108
u157½-110
o157½-110
u157½-110
Winthrop Eagles (4-2)
Louisville Cardinals (2-1)
12.0%
88.0%

+2200
-5800
+20½-108
-20½-108
+21½-110
-21-110
71.4
83.1
154.5
o160½-108
u161½-110
o159½-110
u160-110
Overall Bet Value Active
USC Upstate Spartans (2-4)
ETSU Buccaneers (2-2)
21.8%
78.2%
+550
-725
+550
-725
+11½-108
-11-110
+11-110
-10½-110
72.8
81.2
154.0
o153½-110
u154½-110
o154-110
u154-110
Chicago State Cougars (0-5)
Indiana State Sycamores (2-2)
8.9%
91.1%
+1075
-1620
+1200
-2000
+17½-108
-17-110
+18-110
-17-110
71.0
84.4
155.4
o155-108
u155½-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
Jackson State Tigers (0-5)
Kentucky Wildcats (4-0)
1.2%
98.8%


+34½-108
-35½+110
+35-110
-34-110
68.0
95.1
163.1
o156½+100
u156-108
o155-110
u156-110
Army Black Knights (3-2)
Manhattan Jaspers (2-2)
56.6%
43.4%
-120
+100
-130
+110
-1-108
+1½-108
+0-110
+1½-110
71.0
68.4
139.4
o139-105
u139-108
o139-110
u139-110
North Carolina Central Eagles (1-5)
Georgia State Panthers (2-2)
24.7%
75.3%
+185
-220
+190
-220
+5½-110
-5-108
+5-110
-5-110
71.4
79.1
150.5
o143-110
u144-108
o143½-110
u143½-110
Texas State Bobcats (2-3)
Princeton Tigers (4-2)
23.2%
76.8%
+235
-255
+220
-250
+6½-108
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-110
65.7
73.9
139.6
o138-108
u138-105
o137½-110
u138½-110
VCU Rams (4-1)
Nevada Wolf Pack (4-1)
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-118
+110
-125
+1-104
-1-108
+2-110
-1½-110
68.9
70.4
139.3
o138½-108
u139-110
o138½-110
u140½-110
All Bet Values Active
Elon Phoenix (2-2)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0)
8.2%
91.8%
+950
-1500
+1000
-1400
+15½-108
-15½-105
+16-110
-15-110
65.1
79.3
144.4
o142-105
u142½-110
o141½-110
u143-110
Pacific Tigers (3-3)
Missouri Tigers (3-1)
4.4%
95.6%
+1395
-3000
+1600
-2600
+20½-105
-20-108
+21-110
-20-110
67.1
85.0
152.1
o150½-108
u151-110
o149½-110
u150½-110
New Orleans Privateers (1-4)
Tulane Green Wave (4-1)
5.3%
94.7%
+1245
-1895
+1300
-2500
+18½-110
-18-108
+18½-110
-18-110
69.3
86.0
155.3
o149-105
u149½-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks (2-4)
Northwestern State Demons (2-3)
48.4%
51.6%
+155
-170
+145
-165
+4½-115
-4-108
+4-110
-3½-110
71.4
72.0
143.4
o136½-105
u137-110
o135½-110
u136½-110
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (1-2)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (2-3)
82.3%
17.7%
-500
+390
-535
+450
-8½-115
+9½-110
-9½-110
+10-110
82.9
73.2
156.1
o148½-105
u149½-110
o148-110
u149-110
George Washington Colonials (4-0)
Kansas State Wildcats (3-1)
13.8%
86.2%
+320
-390
+330
-400
+9-108
-8½-110
+9-110
-9-110
69.1
80.2
149.3
o149-108
u149½-110
o148½-110
u150-110
Pepperdine Waves (1-3)
Northwestern Wildcats (4-1)
6.7%
93.3%
+1250
-2400
+1250
-2000
+18½-110
-18-108
+18½-110
-18-110
63.3
78.7
142.0
o137-110
u137½-108
o137-110
u137½-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (2-1)
Murray State Racers (3-1)
39.7%
60.3%
+270
-300
+255
-300
+7-104
-7-108
+7½-110
-7-110
71.0
74.6
145.6
o143½-105
u143½-108
o143-110
u143-110
Utah State Aggies (4-0)
Iowa Hawkeyes (5-0)
46.9%
53.1%
+140
-153
+145
-155
+3-105
-3-105
+3½-110
-3-110
81.4
82.8
164.2
o168-110
u169-108
o168-110
u169-110
South Dakota Coyotes (5-1)
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (1-4)
57.6%
42.4%
-135
+130
-140
+135
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-110
80.1
77.3
157.4
o153½-110
u154-108
o153-110
u154½-110
Portland State Vikings (2-1)
Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers (2-2)
30.5%
69.5%
+195
-210
+180
-210
+5-103
-4½-110
+5-110
-5-110
76.4
82.2
158.6
o162-108
u162½-108
o161½-110
u162½-110
Hofstra Pride (4-1)
Houston Cougars (2-1)
3.8%
96.2%
+1800
-10000
+3000
-9000
+28½-108
-28½-105
+29-110
-28-110
58.6
77.5
136.1
o131½-110
u132½-110
o131-110
u131½-110
Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-1)
Creighton Bluejays (4-0)
22.9%
77.1%
+460
-555
+450
-550
+10-110
-9½-108
+10½-110
-10-110
72.3
80.6
152.9
o151-108
u151½-110
o151-110
u152½-110
Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix (2-3)
Evansville Purple Aces (1-4)
45.8%
54.2%
-120
+105
-115
+100
+0-115
+1½-108
-1-110
+1-110
72.1
73.9
146.0
o151+105
u150½-108
o150-110
u151-110
Incarnate Word Cardinals (3-1)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (4-1)
43.1%
56.9%
+170
-185
+160
-180
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4-110
-4-110
74.0
76.6
150.6
o142-110
u143-110
o143-110
u143-110
Rice Owls (4-1)
Houston Christian Huskies (2-2)
89.0%
11.0%
-700
+565
-750
+550
-11-105
+10½+100
-11½-110
+12-110
81.2
69.1
150.3
o136-110
u136½-108
o136-110
u136½-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (2-3)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (3-2)
50.6%
49.4%
-115
+100
-125
+105
+0-108
+1-110
-1-110
+1½-110
71.8
71.6
143.4
o148-108
u148-108
o148-110
u148-110
Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0)
SMU Mustangs (4-1)
56.2%
43.8%
-120
+108
-125
+105
-1½-108
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
77.9
75.5
153.4
o157-110
u157½-105
o157½-110
u158-110
Omaha Mavericks (2-3)
Alabama State Hornets (1-2)
67.2%
32.8%
-105
-110
-105
-115
+1-108
+1-115
+1-110
-1-110
76.0
70.5
146.5
o142-110
u143-108
o142-110
u143-110
Southeastern Louisiana Lions (2-2)
Wyoming Cowboys (3-1)
18.7%
81.3%
+545
-720
+525
-700
+11½-108
-11½-108
+12½-110
-12-110
68.0
77.6
145.6
o140-110
u140½-102
o141½-110
u141½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UC Irvine Anteaters (4-0)
Weber State Wildcats (1-3)
67.2%
32.8%
-280
+250
-280
+250
-6½-108
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-110
72.5
67.0
139.5
o138-108
u138-108
o136½-110
u138-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UC Riverside Highlanders (2-3)
Colorado State Rams (3-1)
8.6%
91.4%
+500
-610
+475
-625
+11-108
-10½-110
+11½-110
-11-110
66.0
79.9
145.9
o143½-105
u144-110
o144-110
u144½-110
Little Rock Trojans (3-2)
Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1)
4.2%
95.8%
+1372
-2700
+1700
-3000
+21-108
-20½-108
+21-110
-21-110
67.6
85.8
153.4
o144½-110
u145½-110
o144-110
u144-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Norfolk State Spartans (4-2)
Grand Canyon Antelopes (2-2)
6.7%
93.3%

+2000
-4600
+19-110
-18½-108
+18½-110
-18½-110
65.8
81.4
147.2
o145-105
u145-108
o145-110
u145-110
Texas Longhorns (4-1)
Saint Joseph's Hawks (4-1)
77.5%
22.5%
-330
+280
-330
+280
-7-108
+7½-110
-7½-110
+7½-110
78.7
70.3
149.0
o148½-108
u149½-110
o148½-110
u149½-110
Baylor Bears (4-1)
Tennessee Volunteers (5-0)
49.9%
50.1%
+170
-192
+180
-190
+5-110
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
74.8
74.9
149.7
o141½-110
u142-105
o141½-110
u142½-110
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (2-2)
Loyola Marymount Lions (1-2)
20.7%
79.3%
+460
-580
+455
-550
+11-110
-10½-108
+10½-110
-10½-110
69.0
77.8
146.8
o146½-110
u147-108
o145½-110
u146½-110
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (4-1)
San Diego Toreros (1-3)
52.9%
47.1%
-115
+105
-115
+105
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1-110
+1½-110
78.2
76.8
155.0
o151-108
u151-108
o150½-110
u151-110
Cal State Fullerton Titans (1-4)
UCLA Bruins (4-1)
4.9%
95.1%
+1800
-10000
+2600
-7500
+27-110
-26½-108
+27-110
-27-110
57.9
75.1
133.0
o133½-107
u135-115
o133½-110
u135-110
Alcorn State Braves (0-5)
Washington Huskies (3-1)
3.6%
96.4%

+3000
-10000
+27-105
-26½-108
+27-110
-26½-110
65.0
84.4
149.4
o142½-108
u142½-105
o142½-110
u143-110
Duke Blue Devils (3-1)
Arizona Wildcats (2-1)
42.9%
57.1%
+105
-120
+110
-125
+1½-108
-1½-105
+2-110
-1½-110
78.9
81.5
160.4
o161-108
u161½-110
o160½-110
u161-110
Saint Louis Billikens (2-1)
Wichita State Shockers (4-0)
40.6%
59.4%
+155
-160
+150
-155
+4-108
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3-110
77.7
80.8
158.5
o152½-110
u154½-110
o153½-110
u155-110
All Bet Values Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 21, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
UMKC Kangarros (3-2)
American University Eagles (1-4)
54.9%
45.1%
-170
+160
-180
+160
-3½-115
+4-108
-4-110
+4½-110
138.0
o132½-105
u133½-110
o132-110
u132½-110
2nd H
02:29
52
56
Bradley University Braves (4-1)
Wright State Raiders (4-2)
77.6%
22.4%
-240
+225
-235
+235
-6-105
+6½-108
-6-110
+6½-110
157.7
o145½-110
u146½-110
o146½-110
u147-110
2nd H
05:13
64
65
Seton Hall Pirates (3-2)
Vanderbilt Commodores (5-0)
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+220
-225
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
-5½-110
138.6
o134½-108
u134+110
o134-110
u135-110
2nd H
09:41
47
66
Wisconsin Badgers (5-0)
UCF Knights (4-0)
65.7%
34.3%
-195
+190
-200
+180
-4½-115
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
145.2
o148½-110
u149½-108
o148½-110
u149-110
2nd H
12:01
63
45
Florida State Seminoles (4-1)
Temple Owls (3-1)
69.6%
30.4%
-195
+180
-200
+180
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
+5-110
150.0
o148½-108
u148½-105
o148½-110
u148½-110
2nd H
11:59
59
45
IUPUI Jaguars (2-3)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (1-3)
27.7%
72.3%
+130
-130
+130
-145
+2½-108
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-110
145.3
o133-105
u134-108
o132½-110
u133½-110
2nd H
07:49
44
64
Wofford Terriers (1-3)
St. Thomas Tommies (3-2)
48.6%
51.4%
-125
+115
-130
+120
-1½-110
+2-108
-2-110
+2½-110
146.5
o142+100
u141½-108
o141½-110
u142-110
2nd H
08:30
65
54
Louisiana Lafayette (1-3)
Liberty Flames (4-1)
22.4%
77.6%
+500
-650
+520
-700
+11-110
-10½-107
+11-110
-10½-110
140.5
o132½-110
u133½-108
o133-110
u133½-110
TIME
HALF
32
45
Utah Tech Trailblazers (1-3)
Utah Utes (3-1)
6.8%
93.2%
+1700
-7000
+2600
-6000
+25-110
-24½-108
+25-110
-25-110
154.4
o154½-110
u155½-110
o154½-110
u155½-110
2nd H
19:55
26
42
Campbell Fighting Camels (3-2)
Ohio State Buckeyes (3-1)
2.7%
97.3%
+1800
-9000
+2500
-6200
+25½-118
-24½-108
+25½-110
-24½-110
140.4
o143+110
u142-110
o141-110
u141½-110
1st H
10:17
18
20
Lamar Cardinals (1-2)
Akron Zips (1-2)
20.3%
79.7%
+450
-575
+455
-600
+10-108
-10-105
+11-110
-10-110
150.9
o148-108
u149-110
o148-110
u148-110
1st H
08:21
7
21
Monmouth Hawks (0-6)
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (2-3)
23.5%
76.5%
+215
-245
+200
-230
+6-115
-5½-105
+5-110
-5-110
140.7
o133½-110
u134-107
o134-110
u134-110
1st H
07:45
19
18
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (2-3)
Le Moyne Dolphins (1-4)
46.1%
53.9%
-155
+135
-155
+145
-3-108
+3-104
-2½-110
+3-105
153.7
o144-108
u144-108
o143½-110
u144-110
1st H
09:55
14
17
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (4-1)
Toledo Rockets (4-1)
31.6%
68.4%
+165
-175
+160
-180
+4½-108
-4-110
+4-110
-4-110
149.4
o153-110
u154-108
o153½-110
u155-110
1st H
15:37
10
8

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland State Vikings
Minnesota Golden Gophers
9.2%
90.8%
+725
-1005
+800
-1100
+13½-108
-13½-108
+14-110
-13½-110
47
58
-0.12511-0.11441-0.09667
Niagara Purple Eagles
Bowling Green Falcons
17.3%
82.7%
+310
-380
+330
-380
+8½-108
-8-105
+8½-110
-8½-110
68
76
-0.26856-0.25755-0.18958
Queens Royals
Appalachian State Mountaineers
18.6%
81.4%
+330
-410
+330
-400
+8½-108
-8½-108
+9-110
-8-110
53
65
-0.25408-0.25519-0.20559
Longwood Lancers
Binghamton Bearcats
64.6%
35.4%
-320
+260
-320
+270
-7½-108
+7½-105
-7-110
+7½-110
66
60
-0.31086-0.30361-0.43620
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Boston College Eagles
6.9%
93.1%
+655
-895
+725
-1100
+13-108
-12½-110
+13-110
-12½-110
61
82
-0.13737-0.12419-0.07189
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Navy Midshipmen
50.6%
49.4%
-135
+120
-135
+115
-2-108
+2½-110
-2-110
+2-110
74
63
-0.58291-0.59314-0.68112
Gonzaga Bulldogs
San Diego State Aztecs
72.3%
27.7%
-605
+475
-600
+475
-10½-108
+11-112
-10½-110
+11-110
80
67
-0.18454-0.18473-0.32399
Idaho State Bengals
Cal State Fullerton Titans
37.6%
62.4%
+130
-140
+135
-145
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2-110
61
62
-0.55696-0.54173-0.47162
Northern Colorado Bears
Washington State Cougars
12.7%
87.3%
+550
-665
+550
-700
+12-110
-11½-108
+12-110
-11½-110
69
83
-0.16295-0.16198-0.13611
North Alabama Lions
Auburn Tigers
2.4%
97.6%


+29-108
-28½-110
+29½-110
-28-110
69
102
-0.02412
Montana Grizzlies
Utah State Aggies
8.6%
91.4%
+1050
-1700
+1050
-1600
+16½-108
-16½-105
+16½-110
-16½-110
83
95
-0.08808-0.08837-0.08952
UTRGV Vaqueros
Wisconsin Badgers
2.1%
97.9%

+2000
-4600
+21-110
-20½-108
+22-110
-21-110
84
87
-0.04751-0.02137
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Texas Tech Red Raiders
0.9%
99.1%



+39½-110
-39½-110
64
98
-0.00857
Prairie View A&M Panthers
SMU Mustangs
1.3%
98.7%


+32-105
-32-108
+32-110
-31½-110
69
110
-0.01267
Pacific Tigers
Arkansas Razorbacks
2.4%
97.6%
+1600
-6000
+1800
-3500
+22-110
-21½-108
+22-110
-21½-110
72
91
-0.05808-0.05272-0.02432
IUPUI Jaguars
Iowa State Cyclones
0.4%
99.6%


+34½-108
-34½-108
+34-110
-34-110
52
87
-0.00360
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks3820-16 (0.553)2-0.60367 
Sportsbooks3821-16 (0.566)1-0.59053 
DRatings3823-15 (0.605)0-0.63756
-0.03388
-0.04703

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.