NC State at North Carolina

Updated

NC State Wolfpack

(5-5)
Rank69
P/G28.6
PA/G30.6
27.5%72.5%
NC State WinNorth Carolina Win
24.1Projected Points 31.2
30Final Score 27

North Carolina Tar Heels

(6-4)
Rank53
P/G33.7
PA/G26.2
Rank69
P/G28.6
PA/G30.6
Rank53
P/G33.7
PA/G26.2

Last 5 Games

NC State Wolfpack
Money Line
L 10-25 at Louisville Cardinals+165
L 21-20 vs Boston College Eagles-1200
W 21-30 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons+140
W 21-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies-450
L 9-24 at Syracuse Orange+135
North Carolina Tar Heels
Money Line
L 21-17 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-1600
W 36-34 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons+170
W 31-28 at Virginia Cavaliers-265
W 24-42 vs Pittsburgh Panthers-135
W 38-35 at Duke Blue Devils-260

Injuries

NC State Wolfpack

Status
  • QBMJ MorrisDoubtful
  • DESavion JacksonOut for Season
  • WRAnthony SmithOut for Season

North Carolina Tar Heels

Status
  • WRAntoine GreenQuestionable
  • DBJa'Qurious ConleyQuestionable
  • DLRaymond VohasekOut for Season
  • RBCaleb HoodQuestionable
  • LBNoah TaylorOut for Season
SW 4 mph
Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)66°65°61°58°
Humidity65%67%73%81%
Precipitation5%5%3%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 4 mphSW 3 mphWNW 6 mphNNW 8 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NC State+190+200+205+195+210+195+210+221.4
North Carolina-230-235-245-225-250-225-225-221.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NC State+215+200+205-+205+200+205+221.4
North Carolina-255-240-240--245-240-240-221.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NC State+6-110+5½-108+6½-110+6½-115+6½-110+6½-115+6½-110+6½+100
North Carolina-6-110-5½-108-6½-110-6½-105-6½-110-6½-105-5½-108-6½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NC State+7-110+6-110+6-110-+6½-105+6½-110+6½-105+6½+100
North Carolina-7-110-6-110-6-110--6½-115-6½-110-6-110-6½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NC State: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
North Carolina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NC State: 0.0%
North Carolina: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NC State: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NC State: 20.0%
North Carolina: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NC State Spread moved from +6½-108 to +5½-108
North Carolina Spread moved from -6-110 to -7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NC State: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
North Carolina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NC State: 0.0%
North Carolina: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NC State: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NC State: 30.0%
North Carolina: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NC State Spread moved from +7-110 to +6½-110
North Carolina Spread moved from -6-110 to -7-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57½-110o56-108o56½-110o56½-110o56-110o56½-110o56-108o56+100
Underu57½-110u56-108u56½-110u56½-110u56-110u56½-110u56½-110u56+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57½-110o56-110o56-110-o56½-110o56-110o56-110o56+100
Underu57½-110u56-110u56-110-u56½-110u56-110u56½-110u56+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56-110 to o56½-110
The Under moved from u56½-110 to u56-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56-110 to o56½-110
The Under moved from u56½-110 to u56-110
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