Fortuna Sittard at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

38.1%27.2%34.7%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 0

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+850
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140
L 2-3 at Vitesse+115
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord+725
L 0-2 at Twente+660
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-4 at Excelsior+340
L 5-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+120
L 1-3 at Zwolle+195
L 2-0 vs Heerenveen+170
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+159+152+150+153+152+153+153+165.8
Heracles Almelo+160+162+160+155+161+155+162+167.9
Draw+272+281+255+280+282+280+282+299.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+175----+165+165+165.8
Heracles Almelo+140----+145+145+167.9
Draw+270----+275+275+299.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +155 to +144
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +154 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +175 to +160
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +155 to +145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-139o3-125o3¼-101o3¼+101o3¼-101o3-125o3¼+108
Underu3-124u3+117u3+105u3¼-119u3¼-121u3¼-119u3+117u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.44%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.87%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 028.02%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 030.13%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.84%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.96%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 055.49%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 29.63%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.38%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals16.81%
Wins by 3+ goals5.77%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals14.57%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals11.04%
Wins by 3 goals4.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal20.09%
Wins by 2 goals9.82%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.56%8.44%
1.570.69%29.31%
2.544.90%55.10%
3.523.64%76.36%
4.510.51%89.49%
5.54.02%95.98%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.98%28.02%
1.536.33%63.67%
2.513.65%86.35%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.87%30.13%
1.533.73%66.27%
2.512.05%87.95%
3.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.16%31.84%
1.531.72%68.28%
2.510.87%89.13%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
8.44%
10.13%
6.08%
2.43%
0.73%
0.17%
1
10.74%
12.89%
7.73%
3.09%
0.93%
0.22%
2
6.83%
8.20%
4.92%
1.97%
0.59%
0.14%
3
2.90%
3.48%
2.08%
0.83%
0.25%
0.06%
4
0.92%
1.11%
0.66%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.28%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-010.74%
2-06.83%
2-18.20%
3-02.90%
3-13.48%
3-22.08%
4-00.92%
4-11.11%
4-20.66%
4-30.27%
5-00.23%
5-10.28%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.44%
1-112.89%
2-24.92%
3-30.83%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.13%
0-26.08%
1-27.73%
0-32.43%
1-33.09%
2-31.97%
0-40.73%
1-40.93%
2-40.59%
3-40.25%
0-50.17%
1-50.22%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
31.84%
17.69%
4.91%
0.91%
0.13%
1
18.75%
10.42%
2.89%
0.54%
0.07%
2
5.52%
3.07%
0.85%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.08%
0.60%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-018.75%
2-05.52%
2-13.07%
3-01.08%
3-10.60%
3-20.17%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.84%
1-110.42%
2-20.85%
Heracles Almelo
0-117.69%
0-24.91%
1-22.89%
0-30.91%
1-30.54%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%
Go Ahead Eag at Volendam
Excelsior at Feyenoord