Excelsior at Feyenoord

Updated

Excelsior

3.8%9.1%87.1%
WinDrawFeyenoord Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.14
0Final Score 4

Feyenoord

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo-140
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+125
T 2-2 at Ajax+700
W 0-4 vs Volendam-140
L 1-2 at Zwolle+275
Feyenoord
Money Line
W 3-2 at NEC Nijmegen-150
W 0-5 vs Zwolle-1150
W 3-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-180
W 1-0 at Fortuna Sittard-300
W 0-6 vs Ajax-255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1444+854+850+1000+847+1000+1000+1056.7
Feyenoord-635-382-435-455-427-455-382-353.7
Draw+799+601+600+610+585+610+610+646.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+810----+700+700+1056.7
Feyenoord-380-----350-350-353.7
Draw+0----+570+570+646.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Feyenoord: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 20.0%
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +1000 to +900
Feyenoord ML moved from -420 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Feyenoord: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +850 to +700
Feyenoord ML moved from -375 to -390

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-105o4-116o4-112o4-113o4-111o4-113o4-111o4-103
Underu4-111u4-102u4-108u4-107u4-107u4-107u4-102u4+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-103
Under-----u4+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4-105 to o4-124
The Under moved from u3¾+102 to u3½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.48%
Exactly 216.94%
Exactly 419.30%
Exactly 68.80%
Exactly 82.15%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.16%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 514.28%
Exactly 74.65%
Exactly 90.88%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 057.42%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 28.84%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Feyenoord
Exactly 04.31%
Exactly 113.56%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 417.55%
Exactly 511.03%
Exactly 65.78%
Exactly 72.60%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 90.36%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.05%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.90%
Exactly 315.10%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 077.35%
Exactly 119.87%
Exactly 22.55%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Feyenoord
Exactly 023.33%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals0.76%
Feyenoord
Wins by 2+ goals70.26%
Wins by 3+ goals49.16%
Wins by 4+ goals29.67%
Wins by 5+ goals15.53%
Wins by 6+ goals7.10%
Wins by 7+ goals2.86%
Wins by 8+ goals1.01%
Wins by 9+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Feyenoord
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal2.97%
Wins by 2 goals0.65%
Feyenoord
Wins by 1 goal16.86%
Wins by 2 goals21.09%
Wins by 3 goals19.49%
Wins by 4 goals14.15%
Wins by 5 goals8.42%
Wins by 6 goals4.24%
Wins by 7 goals1.85%
Wins by 8 goals0.71%
Wins by 9 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.52%2.48%
1.588.36%11.64%
2.571.43%28.57%
3.550.55%49.45%
4.531.24%68.76%
5.516.97%83.03%
6.58.17%91.83%
7.53.52%96.48%
8.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.58%57.42%
1.510.72%89.28%
2.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Feyenoord Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.69%4.31%
1.582.13%17.87%
2.560.82%39.18%
3.538.49%61.51%
4.520.94%79.06%
5.59.91%90.09%
6.54.13%95.87%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.95%18.05%
1.551.06%48.94%
2.524.60%75.40%
3.59.50%90.50%
4.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Feyenoord
Score012345
0
2.48%
7.79%
12.24%
12.82%
10.08%
6.34%
1
1.37%
4.32%
6.79%
7.11%
5.59%
3.51%
2
0.38%
1.20%
1.88%
1.97%
1.55%
0.97%
Excelsior
1-01.37%
2-00.38%
2-11.20%
Draw
0-02.48%
1-14.32%
2-21.88%
3-30.36%
Feyenoord
0-17.79%
0-212.24%
1-26.79%
0-312.82%
1-37.11%
2-31.97%
0-410.08%
1-45.59%
2-41.55%
3-40.29%
0-56.34%
1-53.51%
2-50.97%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Feyenoord
Score0123456
0
18.05%
26.26%
19.11%
9.27%
3.37%
0.98%
0.24%
1
4.63%
6.75%
4.91%
2.38%
0.87%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.60%
0.87%
0.63%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-04.63%
2-00.60%
2-10.87%
Draw
0-018.05%
1-16.75%
2-20.63%
Feyenoord
0-126.26%
0-219.11%
1-24.91%
0-39.27%
1-32.38%
2-30.31%
0-43.37%
1-40.87%
2-40.11%
0-50.98%
1-50.25%
0-60.24%